AFOS product FWSMLB
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Product Timestamp: 2025-09-02 11:42 UTC

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FNUS72 KMLB 021142
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD Dupuis Unit 1-3...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
742 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 02. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Northwest winds 10 mph or less through the day will gradually
decrease and veer north-northeasterly by sunset. Rain chances are
elevated today (around 60%), focused primarily after 4-6 PM. A
lightning storm and briefly heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out at
the burn location. As for fog potential overnight, modeled
ensemble (HREF) probabilities are less than 5% for visibility
under one mile across western Martin County. However, with light 
winds in place, settling smoke is a possibility, which could lead 
to localized visibility reductions. In addition, if any heavy 
rainfall occurs around the burn site, the potential for locally 
patchy ground fog would increase.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Showers likely 
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 90. 
Min humidity........69 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the 
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL late in 
                    the morning. 
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph. 
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 35. 
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 3. 

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........34  39  44  40  28  49  54  65  54  65  
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY 
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  20  50  50  60  60  
Temp............77  79  83  85  86  88  88  87  88  86  
RH..............98  93  85  80  77  71  71  73  69  74  
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  13  13  14  14  15  15  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.2 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.7 3.1 
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   9   9   9   9   10  9   10  
Dispersion idx..6   16  23  28  32  35  36  38  31  37  
LVORI...........8   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers likely 
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the evening. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 74. 
Max humidity........100 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the 
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms late in the evening. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 12 mph. 
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 4. 
LVORI...............4 increasing to 8. 

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........38     49     48     45     30     38     
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC                       
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC                       
Chc of pcpn (%).60     30     20     10     10     10     
Temp............85     80     79     77     76     76     
RH..............76     88     91     97     100    98     
20 ft wind......N 8    N 6    NW 3   NW 3   N 3    N 3    
20 ft wind gust.14     12     9      9      9      9      
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   500    400    400    400    400    
Transport wind..N 10   N 8    N 6    N 7    N 7    N 6    
Dispersion idx..28     5      4      3      3      3      
LVORI...........3      5      6      7      8      8      

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then 
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the 
                    afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......70 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 89. 
Min humidity........70 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph early in 
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty 
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms 
                    late in the morning. 
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL late in 
                    the morning. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 12 mph. 
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then 
                    increasing to 36 early in the afternoon 
                    increasing to 38 late in the afternoon 
                    decreasing to 28. 
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 4. 

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........55        37        47        63        
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY    
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........          S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY    
Chc of pcpn (%).10        40        40        70        
Temp............76        79        85        86        
RH..............95        94        77        70        
20 FT wind......NW 3G9    N 5G9     N 6G10    N 7G13    
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1200      3200      3500      
Transport wind..NW 5      N 5       N 8       N 12      
Dispersion idx..3         10        32        39        
LVORI...........8         6         3         3         

$$
Forecaster...Schaper
Requested by...James Schuette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2521099.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.schuette@yahoo.com