633 
FNUS75 KTWC 122126
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Airplane...San Carlos
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
226 PM MST Tue Aug 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MST on August 12. 

.DISCUSSION...

Daily chances for late afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected
near the fire site. Winds of 6 to 12 mph with gusts to around 18 mph 
out of the northwest in the afternoons, with terrain driven southeasterly
winds of 5 to 10 mph in the late evening through the early morning. Strong
gusty and erratic winds to around 50 mph will be possible with any thunderstorm.
Minimum relative humidities fall to around 20 percent each day and recover
to 50-60 percent each night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Thunderstorms likely. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Max temperature.....93-96 degrees. 
Min humidity........19-22 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope and northwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts up to 
					15 mph. Stronger gusty and erratic winds to around
					50 mph expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......10200 ft AG. 
Transport winds.....North 10 to 11 knots. 

TIME (MST)      3 PM      
Sky (%).........56        
Weather cov.....LIKELY   
Weather type....RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........LIKELY    
CWR.............50        
Temp............91        
RH..............21        
20 FT wind......NW 8G14   
Mix hgt (ft)....10200     
Transport wind..N 11      

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. 
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in 
                    the evening. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in 
                    the evening. 
Min temperature.....66-69 degrees. 
Max humidity........54-57 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph becoming downslope
					and southeasterly late. Gusty and 
                    erratic winds possible near thunderstorms early 
                    in the evening. 
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest around 11 knots. 

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM      
Sky (%).........68        50        29        26        
Weather cov.....CHANCE    S CHC                              
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........CHANCE    S CHC                              
CWR.............40        20        10        10        
Temp............84        77        72        69        
RH..............29        36        45        50        
20 FT wind......N 8G14    W 6G10    SE 5G8    SE 4G6    
Mix hgt (ft)....4000      700       700       700       
Transport wind..NW 11     NW 7      N 6       W 6      

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny through the 
					afternoon. Slight chance Chance of showers 
					and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent. 
Max temperature.....91-94 degrees. 
Min humidity........20-23 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope and southeasterly 4 to 8 mph through
					the morning, then upslope 6 to 12 mph with gusts 
					up to 18 mph in the afternoon. Stronger 
					gusty and erratic winds expected near 
					thunderstorms in the late afternoon. 
Mixing height.......Increasing to 9200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 14 knots. 

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........22        6         35        60        
Weather cov.....                    S CHC     CHANCE    
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     CHANCE    
CWR.............0         0         20        40        
Temp............67        82        91        91        
RH..............55        32        25        21        
20 FT wind......SE 3G6    S 5G8     W 6G11    NW 8G14   
Mix hgt (ft)....600       3000      7600      6500      
Transport wind..NW 6      NW 8      NW 8      N 13      

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Jo Decker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519770.0/TWC
.DELDT 08/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov,aaron.norman@forestry.scat-nsn.gov

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