National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSMSO
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSMSO
Product Timestamp: 2025-07-27 14:44 UTC
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375 FNUS75 KMSO 271444 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for GRIZZLY CREEK National Weather Service Missoula MT 844 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0931 MDT on July 27. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop just south of the fire this afternoon and evening. The probability for lightning on the fire is low, at around 20 percent between 1600-2000 local. Gusty outflows between 15-25 mph can be expected, as the convection moves off from the south and east of the fire. Monday, similar conditions are expected with a 20 to 25 percent probability for lightning between 1600-2000 local. .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain late in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. * Chance Lightning....25 percent. * Max Temperature.....77-82. * Min Humidity........29-34 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming northwest 5-7 mph with gusts around 15 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl increasing to 8000 ft agl in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.01 inches. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. * Chance Lightning....15 percent. * Min Temperature.....56-61. * Max Humidity........57-62 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........North around 5 mph in the evening becoming variable 2-4 mph. * Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl decreasing to 1500 ft agl early in the evening. * Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.03 inches. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. * Chance Lightning....20 percent. * Max Temperature.....78-83. * Min Humidity........30-35 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph, with gusty erratic winds around 25 mph in and around convection in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl increasing to 8500 ft agl. * Mixing Winds........West 5 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. $$ Forecaster...Robinson Requested by...GREG WEATHERWAX Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2518573.2/MSO .DELDT 07/27/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jack.currie@cskt.org