AFOS product FWSMSO
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSMSO
Product Timestamp: 2025-07-27 14:44 UTC

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FNUS75 KMSO 271444
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for GRIZZLY CREEK
National Weather Service Missoula MT
844 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0931 MDT on July 27. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop just south of the fire this afternoon and evening. The
probability for lightning on the fire is low, at around 20 
percent between 1600-2000 local. Gusty outflows between 15-25 mph
can be expected, as the convection moves off from the south and 
east of the fire. Monday, similar conditions are expected with a 
20 to 25 percent probability for lightning between 1600-2000
local.

.TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain late in
  the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the 
  afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....25 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....77-82. 
* Min Humidity........29-34 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming northwest 5-7 mph
  with gusts around 15 mph in the afternoon. 
* Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl increasing to 8000 ft agl in the 
  afternoon. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.01 inches. 

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and 
  thunderstorms in the evening. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....15 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....56-61. 
* Max Humidity........57-62 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........North around 5 mph in the evening becoming 
  variable 2-4 mph. 
* Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl decreasing to 1500 ft agl early 
  in the evening. 
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.03 inches. 

.MONDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and 
  thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....78-83. 
* Min Humidity........30-35 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph, with gusty erratic winds
  around 25 mph in and around convection in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl increasing to 8500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........West 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Robinson
Requested by...GREG WEATHERWAX
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518573.2/MSO
.DELDT 07/27/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jack.currie@cskt.org