National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDMOB
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDMOB
Product Timestamp: 2025-07-11 19:08 UTC
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798 FXUS64 KMOB 111908 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 208 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 ...New Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 151 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 A typical summertime diurnal pattern continues through the forecast package as an upper high pressure area builds over the southeast states and northern Gulf over the weekend and into early next week. We are expecting mainly scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday, followed by scattered to occasional numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms around midweek. A surface ridge remains in place over the northern Gulf through Monday, keeping a light southwesterly to westerly flow over the forecast area. The wind flow becomes a bit disrupted Tuesday through midweek as a possible weak low pressure area forms and meanders across the northeast Gulf. We will continue to see dewpoints elevated, and will need to monitor for heat index concerns early next week with apparent temperatures mostly ranging from 102-107 degrees. At this time we are not expecting to issue any Heat Advisories as most indices should remain below our 108 degree criteria. Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon give ample instability and minimal shear, so we can't rule out a few strong storms with gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning. Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches through Saturday with a bump to a MODERATE risk expected by Sunday for the northwest Florida beaches. A LOW risk is then expected through the middle of next week. /22 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 VFR flight category prevails across the region outside of showers and storms. Temporary reductions in flight category are possible underneath any showers or storms, with best chances for this being across southeastern Mississippi into interior portions of southwestern Alabama through sunset. VFR flight category continues through Saturday afternoon. Winds remain generally out of the west at around 5 to 10 knots during the day, relaxing below 5 knots at night. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 151 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 No significant impacts to small craft are expected through the middle of next week outside of locally higher winds/seas and reduced visibilities associated with occasional showers and thunderstorms. /22 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 73 93 74 94 74 95 75 97 / 30 40 10 50 0 40 10 40 Pensacola 78 93 78 94 77 95 78 97 / 20 30 10 50 10 40 10 40 Destin 80 93 80 93 80 95 80 96 / 20 30 10 50 10 30 20 40 Evergreen 72 95 73 95 73 96 74 97 / 10 40 20 40 0 30 10 40 Waynesboro 71 95 72 95 73 96 73 97 / 20 30 10 40 10 30 10 30 Camden 72 93 73 94 74 95 74 96 / 10 30 20 30 0 20 0 30 Crestview 73 95 74 95 73 97 74 97 / 20 50 10 60 10 40 10 40 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob