National Weather Service Raw Text Product

754 
FXUS62 KTBW 202357
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
757 PM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 756 PM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025

Abundant moisture allowed for widespread showers and 
thunderstorms to develop today, with fairly cool temperatures 
aloft allowing for a few reports of small hail and marine wind 
gusts. Early evening radar imagery is showing that the bulk of the
convection is winding down, but a few storms are still lingering 
over the Nature Coast and the adjacent Gulf waters. Most of the 
thunderstorm activity is expected to wind down by around midnight,
with rain free conditions holding through Saturday morning.

With the widespread rainfall, temperatures have fallen a bit
quicker than was previously forecast, so temperatures have been
dropped down for the next few hours. Otherwise, the only other
forecast update was to adjust rain chances and sky cover for the 
next few hours to keep up with radar and satellite trends. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 756 PM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025

Afternoon thunderstorms are winding down around area TAF sites,
with some lingering showers possible over the next few hours, and
an outside chance of thunderstorms redeveloping between 00-04z and
impacting area terminals. VFR conditions should then hold through
the rest of the overnight period and through early Saturday
afternoon. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will develop 
Saturday afternoon and evening, with the highest thunderstorm
chances between 20-01z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025

A light and variable flow today will gradually become more ESE over 
the weekend, gradually increasing as this occurs. There will be an 
onshore flow in the afternoon at the coast, with thunderstorms 
expected to develop over Bay and Inland waters as this sea breeze 
moves inland. However, the greatest window for impacts across 
coastal waters will generally be in the evening and overnight, 
gradually diminishing towards morning. While higher near 
thunderstorms, winds should otherwise remain around 15 knots or 
less, with seas of 2 feet or less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  77  93  78  94 /  40  40  30  60 
FMY  74  93  75  94 /  30  60  30  70 
GIF  75  94  75  94 /  40  40  10  60 
SRQ  74  92  75  92 /  40  40  30  70 
BKV  71  94  72  95 /  70  40  20  60 
SPG  77  90  78  91 /  40  40  30  60 

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: 
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Fleming
MARINE...Flannery