National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSMLB
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSMLB
        Product Timestamp: 2025-06-11 07:58 UTC
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641 
FNUS72 KMLB 110758
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Bull Creek 42/74/78...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
358 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 11. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Light/variable morning winds becoming E/SE early to 
mid afternoon as a quicker inland-moving sea breeze crosses the burn 
site. Scattered to numerous showers and lightning storms will accompany 
the sea breeze and may affect the burn site with gusty/erratic outflow 
winds, frequent lightning strikes, and a period of heavy rain. 
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers 
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon, becoming 
                    likely by mid to late afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 91. 
Min humidity........61 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east to southeast around 
                    9 mph with some higher gusts. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL late in 
                    the morning. 
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph shifting to the east 8 to 10 
                    mph late in the afternoon. 
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 38. 
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 4 late in the morning, then 
                    decreasing to 2 to 3 late in the afternoon. 
TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........34  31  31  36  50  62  70  56  56  56  
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY 
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........                SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY 
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  20  30  50  50  60  60  
Temp............77  79  84  87  87  89  89  88  89  86  
RH..............90  88  74  68  65  61  61  61  61  68  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   
20 FT wind spd..2   2   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   9   12  13  13  14  14  14  
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.7 2.4 2.5 2.4 
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  E   SE  E   
Transp wind spd.7   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  
Dispersion idx..9   20  33  36  36  38  31  26  29  30  
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   3   1   1   2   2   3   
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Considerable cloudiness (40-60 percent). 
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early 
                    in the evening, then slight chance of showers 
                    and thunderstorms through mid to late evening. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 72. 
Max humidity........100 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph becoming light. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 15 mph. 
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 3 to 4. 
LVORI...............3 increasing to 9. 
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........55  75  68  65  47  38  41  53  46  39  41  32  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH                             
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW                              
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH                             
Chc of pcpn (%).50  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  
Temp............86  85  81  79  78  77  77  76  75  74  74  72  
RH..............68  70  79  85  88  90  90  94  97  100 97  100 
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.12  15  14  12  10  10  8   8   9   7   6   6   
Dispersion idx..30  31  9   8   7   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   8   9   
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers 
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon, 
                    becoming likely by mid to late afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 91. 
Min humidity........61 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in 
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and 
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the 
                    late morning and afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph. 
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 48. 
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1. 
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........49  33  44  37  39  40  47  55  62  60  58  56  
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY 
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC 
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  
Temp............74  74  77  82  84  88  89  89  89  88  88  88  
RH..............97  97  90  79  74  63  61  61  64  66  63  63  
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   10  13  14  15  16  16  15  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.3 
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.6   6   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  
Dispersion idx..3   3   10  21  35  43  45  48  47  44  40  36  
LVORI...........9   9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   
$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515711.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com