AFOS product FWSBOU
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Product Timestamp: 2025-05-18 10:18 UTC

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FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Forsythe II Broadcast RX...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
418 AM MDT Sun May 18 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect partly cloudy skies with light drainage flow through mid-morning, 
before up-canyon easterly winds develop between 0800-1000. Shortly after
midday, expect some cumulus development with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms, persisting through early evening. As convection develops, 
the potential for prevailing westerly winds will increase, especially
from 1400 onwards. A few gusts of 25-30 mph will be possible in the 
vicinity of any thunderstorms.

Very good humidity recoveries are anticipated tonight with a return
to light drainage winds. Monday will bring prevailing west/northwest
winds, breezy at times, and a chance for light rain or a weak 
thunderstorm in the afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-80 percent). Rain showers 
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms after 1200. 
CWR.................8 percent increasing to 18 percent in the 
                    afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......70 percent. 
Chance of thunder...50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57. 
Min humidity........46 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West 3-6 mph through 0800, then east 5 to 
                    8 mph until 1400, then west 5 to 10 mph. Gusty 
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms 
                    after 1400. 
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800, then 3100 ft AGL 
                    until 1100, then 6400 ft AGL until 1600, then 
                    3300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph until 1000, then south 12 
                    to 17 mph until 1500, then west 14 to 21 mph 
                    until 1700, then around 24 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then 
                    good until 1600, then fair until 1700, then 
                    good. 

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........55  56  39  42  49  60  63  75  80  88  86  83  
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC 
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   5   10  20  20  20  20  
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   5   10  15  30  50  70  65  40  
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   5   10  20  40  50  45  40  
Temp............40  42  46  49  53  54  55  55  55  52  51  50  
RH..............80  72  64  53  49  48  48  49  46  51  51  52  
20 FT wind dir..WSW WSW SE  E   E   E   E   VRB W   W   W   W   
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   7   
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   8   9   10  11  15  19  23  20  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 1.1 2.7 3.8 5.0 6.3 6.8 6.0 5.3 3.3 3.3 
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   10  12  13  16  16  14  14  21  24  
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   8   25  38  55  88  95  72  64  60  69  
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   F   G   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of 
                    thunderstorms until 2100. Chance of rain 
                    showers until 2400. 
CWR.................7 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent. 
Chance of thunder...25.
Min temperature.....Around 36. 
Max humidity........80 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 3 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL until 2000, then Below 1000 FT AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 13 to 21 mph until 0500, then around 23 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........78  76  70  64  57  57  56  60  62  63  59  55  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC                         
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW                          
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH                                     
CWR.............10  10  5   5   5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  
Chc of thdr (%).25  15  15  10  5   5   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............47  45  43  41  41  39  38  38  38  38  37  37  
RH..............56  61  66  71  71  71  74  72  69  69  67  64  
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   4   4   
20 FT wind gust.15  13  12  12  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.17  16  13  15  17  16  16  16  17  18  21  23  
Vrate kt-ft/1K..33  32  10  12  13  11  12  12  13  13  14  16  
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain/
					snow showers until 0800, then chance of rain. 
					Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. 
CWR.................7 percent increasing to 17 percent in the 
                    afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent. 
Chance of thunder...15 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 51. 
Min humidity........40 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 11 mph with gusts to around 24 
                    mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 5500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph until 1100, then northwest 12 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1400, then 
                    good. 

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........54  71  69  87  90  87  83  80  78  75  72  69  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH 
CWR.............0   0   0   0   5   5   10  15  20  20  20  20  
Chc of pcpn (%).25  25  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  45  40  40  
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   5   10  15  15  15  15  
Temp............36  36  39  41  44  46  47  48  49  50  50  49  
RH..............80  70  60  54  51  50  48  45  43  42  41  40  
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   10  11  11  10  
20 FT wind gust.20  21  21  22  22  22  22  23  23  23  23  22  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.7 2.1 3.5 3.7 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.8 5.3 4.9 
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   
Transp wind spd.23  21  18  15  14  13  12  13  13  14  17  20  
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  30  33  45  44  48  49  56  63  70  78  85  
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   F   F   F   F   F   G   G   G   G   

$$
Forecaster...Rodriguez
Requested by...Tim Egan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514211.0/BOU
.DELDT 05/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.egan@usda.gov,John.Hill@usda.gov,concc@firenet.gov