AFOS product FWSBIS
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Product Timestamp: 2025-05-10 11:18 UTC

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FNUS73 KBIS 101118
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Belcourt Fires...NDDES Watch Center
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
618 AM CDT Sat May 10 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on May 10. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Today will be mostly sunny and breezy, with south winds around 20 mph
gusting to 31 mph. Minimum relative humidities will drop to around 20 percent
in the afternoon. High temperatures will warm to the mid 80s. 

Tonight minimum relative humidities will recover to 50 percent, with a 
low temperature of 60. Winds will start to calm down some around 6pm with 
southwest wind around 16 mph gust to 24 mph. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......20 percent. 
Chance of thunder...9 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 83. 
Min humidity........21 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 20mph with gusts to around 
                    31 mph. 
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 28 to 35 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27900 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to very good (122900 knot-ft) in the 
                    afternoon. 

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........51  41  26  17  13  9   12  16  12  8   
Weather cov.....SCH SCH                                 
Weather type....RW  RW                                  
Tstm cov........                                        
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  
Temp............47  52  57  62  65  69  73  76  79  81  
RH..............45  39  33  28  26  23  21  22  21  21  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT wind spd..17  19  20  20  21  20  19  19  18  17  
20 FT wind gust.25  26  28  30  31  30  28  28  26  26  
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.3 5.1 
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  
Transp wind spd.28  30  32  33  35  31  30  29  29  28  
Dispr kt-ft/1K..28  36  56  70  84  80  86  93  107 123 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
Chance of thunder...10 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 61. 
Max humidity........46 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 16 mph with gusts to around 
                    24 mph. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph decreasing to 15 to 23 
                    mph in the late evening and overnight. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (133200 knot-ft) early in the evening 
                    decreasing to fair (58500 knot-ft) late in the 
                    night decreasing to poor (7500 knot-ft) early 
                    in the evening. 

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........17  38  38  27  33  28  27  46  56  68  72  53  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............82  81  78  73  70  69  67  67  65  65  64  63  
RH..............22  24  28  35  38  39  43  43  45  45  46  46  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  
20 FT wind spd..16  14  13  13  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  
20 FT wind gust.24  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  
Transp wind spd.26  21  18  15  20  22  23  23  21  21  20  20  
Dispr kt-ft/1K..133 59  14  8   9   9   11  11  9   9   9   8   

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Chance of thunder...1 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 92. 
Min humidity........15 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 11 to 15 mph with gusts to 
                    around 22 mph. 
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 26 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to good (74600 knot-ft) in the 
                    afternoon increasing to very good (112900 
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to 
                    excellent (150900 knot-ft) in the afternoon 
                    late in the afternoon. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........39        39        24        26        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
CWR.............0         0         0         0         
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0         
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0         0         
Temp............63        70        83        90        
RH..............46        34        22        16        
20 FT wind......SW 12G18  SW 13G19  S 14G20   S 15G22   
Mix hgt (ft)....400       800       2000      5200      
Transport wind..SW 17     SW 20     SW 18     SW 25     
Dispr kt-ft/1K..6         13        31        113       

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Watch Center
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513650.0/BIS
.DELDT 05/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL watchcenter@nd.gov