AFOS product FWSTFX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSTFX
Product Timestamp: 2024-11-04 17:06 UTC

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FNUS75 KTFX 041706
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Little Creek...Wolf Creek Fire
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1006 AM MST Mon Nov 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on November 04. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be on the increase today ahead of a strong weather 
system that will bring a round of accumulating snow to the area 
tonight and Tuesday. For today, expect winds to increase to 10 to 
20 mph with gusts to 30 or 40 after 1500, especially at higher 
elevations around the fire site. Precipitation will begin later 
this evening, possibly starting as early as 1800 (25th 
percentile), possibly as a brief period of rain before quickly 
changing over to snow. Snow will pick up in intensity around or 
just after sunrise on Tuesday, with winds gradually decreasing 
through the day as snow begins to accumulate.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly 
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of snow and rain 
                    in the afternoon. 
CWR.................5 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....40-45. 
Min humidity........36-41 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. 
 Ridgetop...........West around 40 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow 
                    and rain in the evening, then snow overnight. 
                    Patchy blowing snow overnight. 
CWR.................15 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....29-34. 
Max humidity........57-62 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts 
                    to around 40 mph. 
 Ridgetop...........West around 50 mph. 
Haines Index........ 

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy blowing snow in 
                    the morning. Snow through the day. 
CWR.................40 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....34-39. 
Min humidity........52-57 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon. 
 Ridgetop...........Northwest around 25 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

$$
Forecaster...Ludwig
Requested by...Rocky Infanger
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425548.1/TFX
.DELDT 11/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wolfcreekchief877@hotmail.com, tfx.ops@noaa.gov