971 
FXUS64 KLIX 281155
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
655 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

Upper low/Post Tropical Cyclone Helene was over Kentucky early
this morning, with ridging over the Rockies, and near Bermuda. 
Mid-level clouds associated with the low were just to the north 
of the local area. Temperatures at 3 AM CDT generally ranged from 
the mid 60s to the mid 70s, with dew points in the 60s.

There is really nothing in the short term to force the upper low
away from where it is currently residing. Most of the area should
see abundant sunshine today and tomorrow, but northern portions of
the area could see periods of cloud cover with cloud bases around
4-5k feet. We shouldn't see a great deal of temperature change
between today and Sunday, with highs mid 80s to around 90. West to
northwest winds should keep humidity levels rather comfortable for
outdoor activities. Overnight lows in the 60s will be welcome as
well. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

A northern stream shortwave will eventually open up the low to our
north and shear it out by mid-week. Ridging is expected to develop
over the Appalachians for the end of next week, with unsettled
weather over the Bay of Campeche or the southern Gulf of Mexico.
Not a lot of agreement between medium range solutions beyond about
Wednesday. We'll ride with the NBM deterministic numbers for now,
which will spread at least a low end chance of precipitation into
the area for the end of next week. Expect temperatures to remain
on the warm side of normal through the end of next week. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 652 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

VFR conditions across all forecast terminals at forecast issuance
time. There are some wrap-around mid-level clouds across areas
north of Interstate 10 that could produce ceilings with bases near
or above FL070 this morning. Westerly winds of 10 to 15 knots with
a few higher gusts will be possible for much of the daytime hours
before winds decouple around sunset. 

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

Winds over the open coastal waters have generally diminished to 15
knots or less, and will remove the Small Craft Exercise Caution
headlines from the eastern waters. Expect winds to remain near or
below 15 knots through at least Tuesday. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  86  61  87  64 /   0   0   0   0 
BTR  91  64  92  68 /   0   0   0   0 
ASD  88  64  89  67 /   0   0   0   0 
MSY  88  68  89  71 /   0   0   0   0 
GPT  88  66  89  69 /   0   0   0   0 
PQL  90  66  92  68 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...RW