479 
FXUS64 KMOB 242103
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday night)
Issued at 402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024

Drier conditions continue through the weekend as upper level 
ridging begins to build into the southeast. A subtle upper low 
will continue to retrograde westward over the northern Gulf and we
will move onto the eastern side of this low on Sunday. The rest 
of being sandwiched between the upper low and upper high gives us 
a mostly dry forecast on Sunday with only an isolated shot of a 
shower along the immediate coast. Subsidence and dry air will 
likely squash any feeble attempts at storms. Temperatures will 
continue to range in the low 90s; however, with the strengthening 
ridge we may sneak some mid 90s in tomorrow. Lows will begin to 
slowly increase as some very shallow low level moisture moves 
northward along the coast. Overall, Sunday into Sunday night will 
be rather similar to today. The high risk of rip currents will 
likely drop to moderate tonight and remain moderate throughout the
week as the upper level low moves further west. BB/03

&&

.SHORT AND LONG TERM... 
(Monday through Saturday) 
Issued at 402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024

An upper level low will continue to translate westward into
southern portions of Texas on Monday while upper level ridging
meanwhile builds into the north central Gulf Coast region. The
upper level ridge of high pressure will maintain a strong presence
across the Deep South Tuesday and Wednesday. The ridge then weakens
somewhat late this week into the first part of the upcoming weekend.
Deep layer subsidence and dry air underneath the upper level ridge
axis should allow for continued dry weather conditions across 
interior portions of southeast MS and southwest/south central AL 
through Wednesday. Isolated to locally scattered showers and 
thunderstorms may develop along coastal portions of the forecast 
area each day Monday through Wednesday along the seabreeze. Deep 
layer moisture should improve across our forecast area late this 
week and into the upcoming weekend, so the chances for showers and
thunderstorms should trend upward Thursday through Saturday. 
Highs each day generally range in the mid 90s inland and around 90
degrees to the lower 90s along the immediate coast. A few locations
over interior portions of southeast MS and southwest/south central
AL could reach into the upper 90s Tuesday-Friday. Heat index 
values should trend higher by the middle to latter part of the 
week with maximum readings potentially ranging between 103-108 
degrees. A MODERATE rip current risk continues along area beaches 
Monday and Monday night before trending LOW Tuesday and Wednesday. /21

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024

High-end exercise caution conditions persist across the Gulf waters 
this morning with gusts up to 25 knots. Exercise caution conditions 
will persist through early this afternoon with another round of near 
exercise caution conditions expected again tonight. Chances for 
showers and storms remain higher in the overnight hours and should 
persist through early each morning. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  93  73  95  73  94  75  94 /  10  20  10  20  10  20  10  30 
Pensacola   76  92  76  93  77  93  78  93 /  20  20  10  20  10  30  20  30 
Destin      77  91  78  92  77  92  78  93 /  20  20  10  20  10  30  20  20 
Evergreen   69  93  68  95  69  97  71  98 /   0   0   0  10   0  10   0  10 
Waynesboro  71  94  67  95  68  97  70  98 /   0  10   0   0   0  10   0  10 
Camden      69  93  67  93  68  95  72  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10 
Crestview   71  94  71  95  71  95  72  96 /  20  20  10  20  10  20  10  20 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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