398 
FXUS64 KMOB 122022
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Saturday)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

A broad upper level ridge over the western Atlantic will continue
to build westward through Saturday. At the sfc, a light west to 
southwest flow will maintain higher precipitable water values 
around 2 inches, mainly along the coast. Slightly drier air will 
exist inland with values around 1.8 inches. This will lead to 
similar conditions on Saturday with highs in the mid/upper 90s 
inland to low/mid 90s near the coast. Heat index values will climb
into the 105 to 108 range during the afternoon across the 
southern third of the area. A heat advisory may be required across
portions of the area. Otherwise, isolated to scattered showers 
and thunderstorms will develop near the coast during the morning 
and spread inland through the afternoon. Severe storms are not 
expected, however frequent lightning, gusty winds and brief heavy 
rain can be expected with the storms. /13 

&&

.SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Summer marches on this week with continued heat but also 
some rain chances showing up towards the end of the week. High 
pressure will nose into the area Sunday through Tuesday leading to a 
rather standard summertime pattern. Rain chances will remain 
confined mostly to the seabreeze and land breeze circulations and 
then slowly spreading inland with outflow boundaries. Given the 
relatively benign flow and net subsidence  over the area, coverage 
should remain rather scattered to isolated. Heat will be the main 
talk as moisture slowly builds and with the lack of cloud cover 
highs will be able to climb into the mid to upper 90s leading to 
heat indices around 105. The overall pattern will change by the 
middle of the week as a rather deep trough for this time of year 
digs into the eastern US. Deep southwesterly flow will develop a 
loft as moisture increases across the area. RAin chances will likely 
be on the rise as a subtle boundary slowly drifts southward into the 
central Alabama. If anything, this pattern appears to be a rather 
soggy period with the potential for several rounds of heavier rain 
as PWATS climb into the 2.25 to 2.5 inch range. The good news is 
that it would keep the temperatures down a bit with only highs in 
the low 90s. BB/03

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and 
seas possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      75  95  75  95  76  94  77  94 /  10  50  10  50  10  50  10  50 
Pensacola   78  94  79  94  79  93  80  93 /  10  40  10  50  20  50  20  50 
Destin      80  93  81  92  80  91  81  92 /  10  30  10  40  20  40  20  50 
Evergreen   72  97  74  97  75  96  75  95 /  10  30   0  40  10  50  10  70 
Waynesboro  73  98  74  98  75  96  75  97 /  20  30  10  40  10  50  10  50 
Camden      72  97  75  98  76  96  75  96 /  10  20   0  30  10  40  10  70 
Crestview   74  98  75  97  75  96  76  96 /  10  40   0  40  10  50  10  70 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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