National Weather Service Raw Text Product

683 
FXUS64 KMOB 191128
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
628 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the period along with light
and variable winds. /22

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024/ 

..New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Dry conditions will persist through Monday as deep ridging becomes
reestablished across the southeast states. Skies will be mostly 
clear to clear, along with warmer temperatures and light north 
winds shifting to the east. High temperatures this afternoon will 
rebound to near to above seasonal norms, ranging from the mid to 
upper 80s for most locations, with a few lower 80s possible along 
the beaches. Lows tonight will be above normal, ranging from 62 to
66 degrees interior areas and from 66 to 71 degrees close to the 
coast. High temperatures Monday should be in the mid to upper 80s 
for most locations, and around 90 degrees across southeast 
Mississippi. /22

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Dry and warm weather is expected through much of this week as an 
upper level ridge builds in from the southwestern Gulf. Surface 
high pressure will keep winds mainly out of the east on Tuesday 
before shifting to the south on Wednesday. High temperatures are 
expected to rise into the upper 80s and lower 90s most afternoons 
with lows falling into the 60s inland and the lower 70s along the 
coast. The next chance for rain tries to enter back into the 
forecast on Friday and potentially on Saturday as the upper ridge 
flattens and a shortwave slides eastward across the Mid South and 
Southeastern States. A weak front associated with this shortwave 
feature will push into the Midsouth and Southeastern States, but 
there is still some question as to how far south the front will go
given the dominating surface high pressure to our east. For now, 
have maintained the 15-25% PoP over interior portions of southeast
Mississippi, southwest and south central Alabama on Friday 
afternoon, but it's possible that the influence of the surface 
high pressure could keep better subsidence in place and therefore 
limit rain chances. There's also the possiblity that the shortwave
could become more amplified which would increase rain chances 
over interior areas. We'll continue to narrow down the specifics 
as we get closer in time and in the meantime, enjoy the dry, warm,
and mostly sunny skies. /14

MARINE...
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Light and variable winds through Monday night will be followed by
a light southeasterly to southerly flow Tuesday through Thursday.
/22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      88  66  89  68  86  67  86  68 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0 
Pensacola   87  69  85  70  84  70  84  70 /   0   0  10   0   0   0   0   0 
Destin      85  71  85  71  84  71  83  72 /   0   0  10   0   0   0   0   0 
Evergreen   87  64  88  64  89  63  90  65 /   0   0  10   0   0   0   0   0 
Waynesboro  87  63  89  66  89  65  90  66 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0 
Camden      84  64  86  64  87  63  89  65 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0 
Crestview   88  64  88  63  88  63  88  65 /  10   0  10   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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