747 
FNUS73 KAPX 301034
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for River Road Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
534 AM EST Tue Jan 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on January 30. 
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Light snow showers will continue to move east of the area this 
morning, leaving the potential for patchy flurries and drizzle into 
this evening. South winds between 5 and 10 mph this morning look to 
gradually weaken to around 5 mph this afternoon. Winds may gust to 
around 15 mph this morning. Current temperatures in the low 30s will 
warm a few degrees into the mid 30s this afternoon. No RH concerns 
are anticipated today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog through the 
                    day. Chance of snow showers late in the 
                    morning. Slight chance of drizzle through the 
                    day. Slight chance of snow showers in the 
                    afternoon. 
Max temperature.....Around 35. 
Min humidity........92 percent. 
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph. 
Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph. 
Mixing height.......600-800 ft AGL. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Ventilation index...Poor (0.0). 

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........94  94  93  93  93  93  93  92  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH 
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  DZF DZF DZF DZF DZF 
Tstm cov........                                
Temp............33  33  34  34  34  34  34  33  
RH..............96  96  92  96  92  96  96  96  
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   5   5   5   
20 ft wind gust.16  16  14  14  14  9   9   9   
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  9   8   8   7   6   
Vrate kt-ft.....100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0   
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of 
                    snow showers early in the evening. Slight 
                    chance of drizzle early in the evening. Patchy 
                    fog. 
Min temperature.....Around 29. 
Max humidity........100 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Light winds. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 6 mph shifting to the west 
                    around 3 mph overnight. 
Mixing height.......100-500 ft AGL. 
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Ventilation index...Poor (0.0). 

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........92  91  90  88  87  85  82  80  82  85  87  86  
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY     
Weather type....DZF DZF DZF DZF FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG     
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............33  33  33  32  32  32  31  31  31  30  31  31  
RH..............96  96  96  100 100 96  100 100 96  100 96  92  
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   
20 ft wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   
20 ft wind gust.7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 
Haines index....2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.6   5   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   
Vrate kt-ft.....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 39. 
Min humidity........79 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 18 
                    mph late in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......100-1100 ft AGL. 
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large 
                    plume dominated fire growth. 
Ventilation index...Poor (0.0). 

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
Sky (%).........85     83     83     78     75     74     
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............31     31     34     36     38     39     
RH..............92     95     90     84     80     80     
20 ft wind dir..W      W      SW     SW     SW     SW     
20 ft wind spd..6      6      10     13     13     15     
20 ft wind gust.              13     18     18     21     
Mix hgt (ft)....100    200    500    900    1100   1000   
Haines index....2      2      3      4      4      4      
Transport wind..W 5    W 5    W 7    SW 10  SW 14  SW 17  
Vrate kt-ft.....0      0      0      100    200    200    
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   

$$
Forecaster...DJC
Requested by...Patrick Hayes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2401664.0/APX
.DELDT 01/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Patrick.d.hayes@usda.gov,Kyle.andree@usda.gov.