AFOS product FWFMQT
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Product Timestamp: 2023-10-01 08:57 UTC

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FNUS53 KMQT 010857
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

...SHOWERS AND STORMS TAPER OFF INTO THE AFTERNOON WHILE
UNSEASONABLE WARMTH SETS IN...


.DISCUSSION: 

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue mainly across the
southern UP this morning, but rain chances wind down through the
morning before dry weather returns this afternoon. Expect 
gradually clearing skies from south to north through the morning 
and afternoon while temperatures climb well into the 70s and even
lower 80s. Somewhat breezy conditions are expected across 
portions of the western UP, with gusts up to 20 mph possible. 
Heading into the work week, look for dry weather to continue 
while temperatures continue to climb and winds pick up across the
rest of the area. 

MIZ001-003-020900-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    early. A slight chance of rain showers. A 
                    slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of 
                    precipitation 20 percent. 
Max temperature.....77-82 inland to around 70 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........55-60 percent inland to 64 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch. 
Hours of Sun........4. 
LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1 until 1700, then 2. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min temperature.....61-66 inland to around 67 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. 
Max humidity........80-85 percent. 
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 10 
                    to 15 mph late. Gusts up to 25 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....82-87 inland to around 79 at the shore. 
Min humidity........41-46 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 
                    around 30 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........8. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ002-009-084-020900-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023 /357 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    early. A slight chance of rain showers through 
                    early afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 
                    percent. 
Max temperature.....81-86 inland to around 80 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........49-54 percent. 
   24 hr trend......37 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid 
                    afternoon. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch. 
Hours of Sun........6. 
LAL.................3 until 0900, then 2 until 1100, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. 
Min temperature.....63-68. 
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Max humidity........74-79 percent inland to 68 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....83-88 inland to around 80 at the shore. 
Min humidity........41-46 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to 
                    around 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........8. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ004-005-020900-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L'Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a 
                    slight chance of thunderstorms through early 
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
Max temperature.....78-83. 
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........53-58 percent. 
   24 hr trend......35 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. 
Hours of Sun........5. 
LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 61 inland to around 67 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........88-93 percent inland to 79 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 
                    mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 85. 
Min humidity........43-48 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to 
                    around 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ010-011-020900-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
357 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and 
                    thunderstorms through early afternoon. Chance 
                    of precipitation 40 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 80. 
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........52-57 percent. 
   24 hr trend......34 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. 
Hours of Sun........5. 
LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1300, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 60. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........88-93 percent. 
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 84. 
Min humidity........44-49 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to 
                    around 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ012-020900-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
357 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and 
                    thunderstorms through early afternoon. Chance 
                    of precipitation 40 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 78. 
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........61-66 percent. 
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch. 
Hours of Sun........5. 
LAL.................3 until 1000, then 2 until 1300, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 59. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........96-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 82. 
Min humidity........45-50 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph 
                    by mid afternoon. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ006-007-085-020900-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, 
and Seney
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight 
                    chance of thunderstorms through early 
                    afternoon. A slight chance of rain showers 
                    through mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 
                    20 percent. 
Max temperature.....73-78. 
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........67-72 percent. 
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. 
Hours of Sun........4. 
LAL.................3 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers 
                    late. Chance of showers 20 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 61. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........94-99 percent inland to 83 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 83. 
Min humidity........47-52 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to 
                    around 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ013-020900-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of 
                    rain showers and thunderstorms through early 
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 77 inland to around 71 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........65-70 percent. 
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. 
Hours of Sun........4. 
LAL.................3 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 60. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........95-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 82 inland to around 73 at the shore. 
Min humidity........49-54 percent inland to 59 percent at the 
                    shore. 
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ014-095-020900-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of 
                    rain showers and thunderstorms through early 
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-76 inland to around 70 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........72-77 percent. 
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.26 inch. 
Hours of Sun........3. 
LAL.................3 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 60. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........94-99 percent. 
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 79 inland to around 73 at the shore. 
Min humidity........52-57 percent inland to 63 percent at the 
                    shore. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 9 to 14 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ096-097-020900-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms 
                    through early afternoon. A chance of rain 
                    showers through mid afternoon. Chance of 
                    precipitation 50 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 71. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Min humidity........74-79 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.34 inch. 
Hours of Sun........2. 
LAL.................3 until 1300, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 60. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........97-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south 7 
                    to 12 mph late. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Max temperature.....74-79. 
Min humidity........57-62 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to 
                    around 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........10. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ088-020900-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms 
                    through early afternoon. A chance of rain 
                    showers through mid afternoon. Chance of 
                    precipitation 30 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 71. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Min humidity........76-81 percent. 
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. 
Hours of Sun........2. 
LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. 
Min temperature.....Around 60. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........96-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south 5 
                    to 10 mph late. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....75-80. 
Min humidity........53-58 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph 
                    by mid afternoon. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

MIZ086-087-020900-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
457 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    through early afternoon. A slight chance of 
                    rain showers. Chance of precipitation 20 
                    percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 72. 
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........73-78 percent. 
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.13 inch. 
Hours of Sun........2. 
LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 1. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers 
                    late. Chance of showers 20 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 59. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........98-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. 
LAL.................1. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 80. 
Min humidity........51-56 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 9 to 14 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........9. 
LAL.................1. 

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 61 inland to around 63 at the
shore. Highs 79 to 84. South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around
25 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows 58 to 63 inland to around 64 at the shore. Highs
73 to 78 inland to around 72 at the shore. South 18 to 23 mph
with gusts to around 30 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 61 to 66. Southwest 11 to 16 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows
42 to 47. Highs 53 to 58. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows 34 to 39 inland to around 42 at the shore. Highs
47 to 52. 

.Outlook for Sun Oct  8 through Sat Oct 14...expect below normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation.

$$

...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................

The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:

                          Haines    Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/         Site/     Index  / Height /  Winds   /    Index 
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW       / 1400  / SW 16   /   224 (F)
200301 /       KENTON/ 4 LOW       / 1400  / SW 16   /   224 (F)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW       / 1600  / SW 17   /   272 (F)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / SW 23   /   299 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 1300  / SW 21   /   273 (F)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW       / 1300  / SW 19   /   247 (F)
200703 /        GWINN/ 4 LOW       / 1000  / SW 21   /   210 (F)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW       / 1100  / SW 19   /   209 (F)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 4 LOW       / 1900  / SW 17   /   323 (G)
201504 /         RACO/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1200  / W 14    /   168 (F)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1600  / SW 17   /   272 (F)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1100  / SW 13   /   143 (F)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1500  / W 13    /   195 (F)
201202 /        SENEY/ 4 LOW       / 1400  / SW 17   /   238 (F)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / W 17    /   221 (F)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 4 LOW       / 1300  / SW 18   /   234 (F)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1400  / SW 16   /   224 (F)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW       / 1200  / SW 16   /   192 (F)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 2 VERY LOW  / 1500  / W 10    /   150 (F)
       /          KEW/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1000  / SW 14   /   140 (F)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Mon...

                          Haines    Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/         Site/     Index  / Height /  Winds   /    Index 
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW       / 2400  / SW 16   /   384 (G)
200301 /       KENTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 3900  / SW 25   /   975 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 5 MODERATE  / 4300  / SW 25   /   1075 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE  / 1500  / SW 19   /   285 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 1900  / SW 18   /   342 (G)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE  / 1900  / SW 18   /   342 (G)
200703 /        GWINN/ 5 MODERATE  / 3000  / SW 23   /   690 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE  / 1900  / SW 16   /   304 (G)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE  / 5200  / SW 26   /   1352 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 5 MODERATE  / 1200  / SW 23   /   276 (F)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3200  / SW 18   /   576 (G)
201401 /       REXTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 1100  / SW 21   /   231 (F)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 5 MODERATE  / 1600  / W 24    /   384 (G)
201202 /        SENEY/ 5 MODERATE  / 1800  / SW 19   /   342 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 1900  / SW 20   /   380 (G)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 1700  / SW 17   /   289 (F)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE  / 3300  / SW 27   /   891 (E)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE  / 3500  / SW 24   /   840 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE  / 1300  / W 26    /   338 (G)
       /          KEW/ 5 MODERATE  / 700   / SW 27   /   189 (F)

Note:  Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
       Transport winds are in miles per hour

.....................................................................

The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.

WIMS ID/         Site/Temp/  RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  77/  66/   4/   8/   S/0.02
200301 /       KENTON/  81/  55/   4/  10/   S/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/  81/  58/   4/  10/   S/0.02
201004 /     MUNISING/  74/  69/   5/   8/   S/0.01
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  73/  75/   5/   7/   S/0.00
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  73/  76/   4/   7/   S/0.00
200703 /        GWINN/  75/  70/   5/   9/   S/0.00
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  75/  71/   4/   8/   S/0.00
200503 /       PELKIE/  81/  59/   4/   8/   S/0.01
201504 /         RACO/  70/  80/   4/   7/   S/0.02
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  75/  71/   4/   8/   S/0.00
201401 /       REXTON/  69/  84/   4/   8/   S/0.09
201505 /      RUDYARD/  71/  79/   3/   5/   S/0.02
201202 /        SENEY/  73/  76/   4/   8/   S/0.04
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  72/  79/   4/   8/   S/0.01
201102 /   STONINGTON/  73/  74/   4/   7/   S/0.00
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  80/  57/   6/  12/   S/0.00
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  79/  59/   4/  11/   S/0.00
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  70/  78/   2/   4/   S/0.04
       /          KEW/  74/  74/   4/   6/  SE/0.00
$$

LC