National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDLZK
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDLZK
Product Timestamp: 2023-09-10 07:52 UTC
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672 FXUS64 KLZK 100752 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 252 AM CDT Sun Sep 10 2023 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday Night ) Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 10 2023 NERLY SFC flow will continue to usher in dry air to the state through tonight...with warm conditions expected this Sun afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 70s to upper 80s. Lows tonight will drop down into the upper 50s to mid 60s...with dry conditions continuing. NWRLY flow aloft on Sun will transition to a more zonal flow for Mon...with a weak upper disturbance approaching from the west. While flow near the SFC will remain generally from the north...will see some increasing chances for convection for Mon into Mon night as this disturbance approaches AR. Given no substantial moisture increase ahead of this system...don't think widespread beneficial rainfall will be seen in the short term period. Have isolated to scattered showers...with a few thunderstorms also forecast...especially Mon night. Looks like better chances for precip will come on Tue. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 10 2023 An upper trough moves into the Great Lakes region early Tuesday and builds south to the Gulf Coast by late Tuesday. This trough will move east Wednesday. An upper ridge builds into the Plains Thursday and Friday. An upper trough develops in the Plains Saturday as the ridge moves toward the east coast. A cold front will move through the state Tuesday. This will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms to the area Tuesday. The best rain chances for the week will be on Tuesday. As the upper level trough departs the area Wednesday there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms across the west and south. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Thursday and Friday as a pair of short waves move through. Below normal temperatures are anticipated through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 84 59 86 63 / 0 0 0 30 Camden AR 85 61 87 66 / 0 0 0 10 Harrison AR 82 59 79 60 / 0 0 20 40 Hot Springs AR 87 62 89 66 / 0 0 0 30 Little Rock AR 87 63 90 68 / 0 0 0 30 Monticello AR 85 62 88 68 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 86 60 86 63 / 0 0 10 30 Mountain Home AR 83 59 81 61 / 0 0 10 40 Newport AR 83 58 85 66 / 0 0 0 30 Pine Bluff AR 87 62 90 67 / 0 0 0 20 Russellville AR 88 62 87 64 / 0 0 10 40 Searcy AR 85 60 88 66 / 0 0 0 30 Stuttgart AR 86 61 88 67 / 0 0 0 20 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...62 LONG TERM....51