886 
FXUS64 KLCH 010925
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
425 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 418 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023

Currently there is a weak and almost stalled cold front that is 
stretched across northern LA through east central TX. Conditions 
across the area are quite warm in the low to mid 70s with nearly 
matching dewpoints and areas of fog along with low ceilings. The 
front will slowly make its way to the coast this afternoon, however 
it will become stationary as it gets to the coast / gulf. Pleasant 
conditions will be seen for most of the day as a surface high 
builds in behind the front. Some areas will see slightly higher 
temps due to the lack of cloud cover, however as temps rise to the
mid 80s, dewpoints will be in the 40s to 50s at most. 

Those conditions unfortunately will be temporary. Another trough 
will approach out of the west and the front over the gulf will lift 
back north as a warm front. Ahead of this will be increasing 
southerly flow, bringing back warm and moist air. The approaching 
trough and warm front will help fire up scattered showers and 
storms, mainly across the northern Counties and Parishes, over the 
afternoon and evening. Taking a look at the forecast soundings in 
the northern part of the area, it appears that severe weather is 
unlikely. While PWATS, shear, and lapse rates are decent, CAPE is 
not impressive and there is a decent cap as well. There could be a 
few areas that receive heavy downpour, however flooding also 
appears unlikely.  

Southerly flow will remain elevated going into Monday. A combination 
of well above average temps in the upper 80s and dewpoints in the 
low 70s will yield heat indices in the 90s in some areas. Lows 
will be equally uncomfortable in the mid 70s with near matching 
dewpoints.

Stigger/87

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 418 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023

The long term starts off warm and dry for Tuesday. However a front 
will make its way towards the region Wednesday increasing rain 
chances and temperatures moderating significantly. The front is 
forecast to become nearly stationary through much of the remainder 
of the long term period with rain chances remaining elevated and 
some decent QPF values.

27

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 418 AM CDT Sat Apr 1 2023

Patchy sea fog was observed overnight and early this morning as a
very moist air mass remains over the coastal waters. Light winds 
and low seas can be expected on Saturday into Saturday night as 
the frontal system stalls along the coast. Modest southerly winds 
are expected to develop on Sunday as the stalled front moves back 
to the north as a warm front. Modest southerly winds are then 
expected through early next week. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  83  56  81  67 /   0   0  30  40 
LCH  86  61  81  70 /   0   0  20  10 
LFT  86  62  82  71 /  10   0  10  20 
BPT  87  63  81  70 /   0   0  20   0 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...87