AFOS product FWFAPX
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Product Timestamp: 2022-11-08 08:46 UTC

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FNUS53 KAPX 080846
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
346 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

...Turning warmer through Thursday then sharply colder...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will move off to our east through 
tonight. Low pressure then tracks by to our northwest through late
week. Shower chances will slowly increase Wednesday into Thursday.
A strong cold front will then move through on Friday bringing much
colder air along with it. Lake effect snow is expected this 
weekend. Winds will become gusty starting Wednesday and especially
so Thursday on into the weekend. 


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-082130-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
346 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....46-51...except 38-43 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). 
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). 
Min Temperature.....31-36...except 38-43 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30). 
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). 
Max Temperature.....55-60. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 46-51 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (8130). 
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . 


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-082130-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
346 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....45-50...except around 41 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. 
Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330). 
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). 
Min Temperature.....29-34...except 36-41 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30). 
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61. 
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 15 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (10440). 
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . 


$$

MIZ020-025>027-082130-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
346 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). 
Max Temperature.....47-52. 
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330). 
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). 
Min Temperature.....32-37...except 42-47 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 71-76 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40). 
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). 
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 49-54 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (7740). 
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . 


$$

MIZ031>033-082130-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
346 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....47-52. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........46-51 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (320). 
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). 
Min Temperature.....33-38. 
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........85-90 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). 
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). 
Max Temperature.....58-63. 
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 47-52 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (6910). 
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . 


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-082130-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
346 AM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). 
Max Temperature.....46-51. 
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330). 
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). 
Min Temperature.....29-34. 
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....57-62. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (7640). 
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . 


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.VETERANS DAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MUCH COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 

$$

AJS