975 
FXUS66 KHNX 062330
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
330 PM PST Sun Nov 6 2022


.SYNOPSIS...There will be just clouds and some light rain 
spreading across the area through the evening ahead of a slow 
moving storm system. This system will bring widespread rain 
and mountain snow Monday through Wednesday morning, along with 
increased winds and well below normal temperatures. There is a 
slight chance for thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday as the low 
pressure area moves overhead. Dry and cooler than normal 
conditions can be expected after Wednesday. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
We continue to see clouds and a few light showers and sprinkles
streaming across central California well in advance of the
approaching northeast Pacific storm system. It's pretty mild in
the lower elevations where highs are on track to top out pretty
close to normal. Up in the higher elevations, temperatures are
holding a bit farther below normal. 

The approaching storm system is moving somewhat slower than 
model solutions had been forecasting it to. The southwest to
northeast oriented precipitation band associated with the low 
pressure system is slowly sagging into northern California.
Although models show the Sierra wringing out some mainly light
precipitation from the moist westerly flow through tonight, the
main initial precipitation area is timed into the northern
portions of our area around 2 AM Monday morning. This first wave
of precipitation is expected to spread southward over our area
tomorrow, then another significant push moving across Tuesday as 
the upper low tracks into the coast, then some lingering
precipitation through Wednesday morning as the system pushes 
inland. With some destabilization as the upper low moves in, we
could see a few thunderstorms Tuesday into Wednesday morning. 

Although the timing is a bit slower and the start times of Winter
Storm Warnings has bee pushed back a few hours, we still are
looking for heavy mountain snowfall and significant rainfall
amounts in the lower elevations and foothills. Total snowfall 
accumulations up to 4-8 feet above 800 feet and as much as 1-2
feet down to around 5000 foot elevation will cause significant
travel impacts. With as much as 1-2 inches of rain on the east 
side of the Valley and 2-4 inches in the foothills below the 
snowline, localized flooding can become an issue. 

A winter Storm watch remains in effect for the Kern County
Mountains, where significant snowfall will likely cause travel 
difficulties by Tuesday in the higher mountain communities, then 
by Tuesday night snow levels will lower to the major highway 
passes. As the storm moves out Wednesday, the later part of the 
week into the weekend, will bring drier conditions with much below
normal temperatures.


&&


.AVIATION...Expect clouds and light showers across central 
California overnight creating areas of MVFR conditions along with
some mountain obscurations. A storm system will move into the
region after 10Z Monday, bringing widespread MVFR and areas of 
IFR/LIFR and mountain obscurations in heavier showers.
 
&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
 
On Sunday November 6 2022...Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status
is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno and Kern Counties. 
Burning Discouraged in Kings... Madera... Merced and Tulare 
Counties... and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia 
National Park and Forest.



&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM PST 
Wednesday for CAZ323-324-326.

Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Monday to 10 AM PST Wednesday for 
CAZ327>331.

Winter Storm Watch from Monday evening through Wednesday morning 
for CAZ333>336.

&&

$$

public...JEB
aviation....JPK

weather.gov/hanford