544 
FXUS64 KMEG 061145
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
545 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

...New AVIATION...

Updated 12z Aviation Discussion.

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 148 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

Persistent low clouds remain in place across northeast Mississippi
and west Tennessee near the Tennessee River. Temperatures beneath
this cloud layer remain quite a bit warmer than elsewhere. Areas 
near Tupelo and Monroe county, MS remain in the low 60s. Areas 
farther north and west where radiational cooling conditions are 
more favorable, temperatures are cooler, mostly in the 40s. 
Morning lows should range from the low 40s to middle 50s. Some 
patchy fog is possible across the Midsouth this morning, 
especially where the cooler conditions exist. There may also be 
some patchy drizzle in northeast Mississippi and west Tennessee 
where the low clouds persist. 

It should be mostly dry and a little warmer today across most of 
the Midsouth. Expect high temperatures in the low to middle 70s. A
weak warm front will lift north through the day. This feature may
be just enough to ignite a few showers and thunderstorms across 
the Midsouth late this afternoon or more likely overnight tonight.
Warming conditions are expected early next week. Expect highs in
the low 70s to low 80s.  

It appears we will see a back door cold front encroach on the 
Midsouth midweek bringing cooler temperatures to portions of west 
Tennessee and north Mississippi while east Arkansas and and other areas
near the Mississippi river remain a bit warmer. After midweek, a 
traditional cold front is expected to sweep in from the west 
resulting in significantly cooler conditions across all of the 
Midsouth. High temperatures on Friday are expected to be in the 
upper 50s to upper 60s. The weekend looks even colder featuring 
morning lows in the 30s. High temperatures by Sunday may struggle 
to climb out of the 40s in portions of northeast Arkansas and the 
Missouri Bootheel. 

30/Sirmon

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 529 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

Patchy fog still hanging around all TAF sites this morning.
Conditions will improve at JBR, MKL and MEM by sunrise. TUP will
continue to have low clouds through this afternoon.

Showers will start to increase this afternoon as well. Mainly
affecting MEM and MKL. These scattered rain showers could result 
in low CIGs and low visibility until late Monday morning.

SWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...SWB