755 
FXUS62 KFFC 060631 AAA
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
131 AM EST Sun Nov 6 2022



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022

Cold front is currently situated across the Mississippi River 
Valley. High pressure continues across the western Atlantic with a 
ridge axis stretching into much of Georgia. Regional radar shows the 
leading edge of the precip out ahead of the cold front. This system 
has significantly weakened since yesterday and the hi-res models 
also indicating additional weakening as it approaches the AL/GA 
state line. Light shra are also coming in off the deep easterly 
fetch. These showers will mainly impact eastern portions of the CWA 
while the showers associated with the front should impact the NW and 
far W portions of the CWA...leaving a drier slot across the central 
CWA. QPF will be very light and average under a tenth of an inch. 
Some instability is noted across the eastern portions of the CWA, so 
have kept the mention of isold thunderstorms in this area. 

Low clouds and fog will develop again overnight. The fog/clouds 
should break by the late morning/early afternoon. 

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022

Unseasonably warm temps will start us off Monday due to the upper 
level ridging that will be over our area through early this week. 
With this daily highs will be threatened as temps reach into the 
80s.  Like previously mentioned a CAD looks to set up and move into 
our area mid week which should help cool off our temperatures just a 
bit. No real change look to happen until late this coming week 
though.

The main focus will be on the low pressure systems that looks to 
start to set up over the Atlantic off the east coast of Florida. 
Models have it crossing Florida into the gulf by Friday. After that, 
uncertainty lies over where the the low will move, so stay tuned 
for further updates. Either way, we will see some affects from this 
system with gusty winds as the pressure gradient tightens up. PoPs, 
like the last update, are gradually introduced into the weekend as 
the low moves over Florida.  Looking beyond this system, models are 
favoring a cold frontal passage, dropping temps significantly into 
the later part of the weekend, but this is 7-8 days out so we will 
see how well that plays out.  

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 154 AM EDT Sun Nov 6 2022
IFR cigs spreading west into most TAF sites by 08Z. Some LIFR
cigs possible as well. Conditions improving to MVFR 15-16Z then 
VFR at 17Z. Sct SHRA with isold TSRA likely over eastern GA which
should only affect KMCN this afternoon. Coverage of TSRA too low
to mention in TAF but may add TEMPO -SHRA if upward trends in
coverage continue. E-SE winds today 4-7kts decreasing to light E 
after sunset.


//ATL Confidence...Avi Update...
Medium confidence on IFR cig timing and extent.
Low-Medium confidence on LIFR likelihood and timing.
High confidence on all other elements.


SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  80  61  73 /  10  10   0   0 
Atlanta         65  81  63  75 /  10  10   0   0 
Blairsville     60  77  56  71 /  10  10   0   0 
Cartersville    64  81  61  77 /  10  10   0   0 
Columbus        66  84  64  80 /   0   0   0   0 
Gainesville     65  80  62  72 /  10  10   0   0 
Macon           63  83  61  79 /  10   0   0   0 
Rome            64  82  59  79 /  10  10   0   0 
Peachtree City  63  82  62  77 /  10  10   0   0 
Vidalia         64  83  63  79 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...SNELSON