216 
FXUS62 KFFC 060111
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
911 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022


.UPDATE...
Issued at 905 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022

Scattered showers are ongoing across portions of east Georgia,
primarily east of a line from Macon to Athens. Thunder has not
been observed with any of this precipitation, and is not
anticipated as instability diminishes. These showers are expected
to come to an end by midnight. After this point, low clouds and 
patchy fog are expected to develop, with cloud ceilings of less
than 500 ft by sunrise. Otherwise, only minor adjustments have
been made based on the latest observations and trends.

King

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022

Cold front is currently situated across the Mississippi River 
Valley. High pressure continues across the western Atlantic with a 
ridge axis stretching into much of Georgia. Regional radar shows the 
leading edge of the precip out ahead of the cold front. This system 
has significantly weakened since yesterday and the hi-res models 
also indicating additional weakening as it approaches the AL/GA 
state line. Light shra are also coming in off the deep easterly 
fetch. These showers will mainly impact eastern portions of the CWA 
while the showers associated with the front should impact the NW and 
far W portions of the CWA...leaving a drier slot across the central 
CWA. QPF will be very light and average under a tenth of an inch. 
Some instability is noted across the eastern portions of the CWA, so 
have kept the mention of isold thunderstorms in this area. 

Low clouds and fog will develop again overnight. The fog/clouds 
should break by the late morning/early afternoon. 

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022

Unseasonably warm temps will start us off Monday due to the upper 
level ridging that will be over our area through early this week. 
With this daily highs will be threatened as temps reach into the 
80s.  Like previously mentioned a CAD looks to set up and move into 
our area mid week which should help cool off our temperatures just a 
bit. No real change look to happen until late this coming week 
though.

The main focus will be on the low pressure systems that looks to 
start to set up over the Atlantic off the east coast of Florida. 
Models have it crossing Florida into the gulf by Friday. After that, 
uncertainty lies over where the the low will move, so stay tuned 
for further updates. Either way, we will see some affects from this 
system with gusty winds as the pressure gradient tightens up. PoPs, 
like the last update, are gradually introduced into the weekend as 
the low moves over Florida.  Looking beyond this system, models are 
favoring a cold frontal passage, dropping temps significantly into 
the later part of the weekend, but this is 7-8 days out so we will 
see how well that plays out.  

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 744 PM EDT Sat Nov 5 2022

Mainly VFR conditions are in place across north and central
Georgia, with the exception of scattered SHRA in east Georgia.
Lower ceilings will develop into the area from the northeast
during the overnight hours. MVFR ceilings are forecast to develop
between 06-08Z, lowering quickly to IFR/LIFR between 10-12Z early
Sunday morning. Visibility restrictions of 2-3SM will be possible
as well. Ceilings will be slow to improve on Sunday, only lifting
back to MVFR after 16Z and VFR in the mid to late afternoon.
Scattered -SHRA will be possible in portions of east Georgia,
including AHN/MCN, in the late morning and afternoon hours. Winds
are in the process of shifting back to SE, and will remain so at
3-6 kts overnight. Winds on Sunday will remain light, and remain
SE to S.

//ATL Confidence...Avi Update... 
Medium confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  78  64  80 /  40  40  20   0 
Atlanta         65  81  65  81 /  20  10  10  10 
Blairsville     61  75  60  77 /  40  30  20  10 
Cartersville    62  82  64  81 /  20  10  10  10 
Columbus        64  84  66  84 /  20  10   0   0 
Gainesville     65  78  65  80 /  40  20  10  10 
Macon           66  83  63  83 /  20  30  10   0 
Rome            62  82  64  82 /  20  10  10  10 
Peachtree City  63  81  63  82 /  20  10  10  10 
Vidalia         68  82  64  83 /  20  40  20   0 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...King