698 
FXUS63 KUNR 071130
AFDUNR

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
530 AM MDT Fri Oct 7 2022

.DISCUSSION...(Today Through Thursday)
Issued at 210 AM MDT Fri Oct 7 2022

Western NOAM ridge will remain anchored into early next week with
periodic front side impulses advecting through the Northern 
Plains. Sfc high is shifting SE across the Northern Plains this 
morning, with the associated shallow cold layer banked up against 
the western high plains. Areas of fog and drizzle continue INVOF 
the Black Hills, with return flow helping to sustain these 
conditions. Sfc high will shift east today with dry air and mixing
eroding the clouds, fog and drizzle this morning. There may be a 
few stubborn areas where low clouds hang on into the afternoon 
along the east slopes of the BH, including the Rapid City area, 
given ESE ll flow. Otherwise, warmer conds on track for today with
plenty of sun over much of the area. Warming trend will continue 
into Sat with highs in the 60s expected for most of the region. 
Another impulse will cross the region Sat night, with the only 
local affect being a response to winds across NW SD. Warming will 
continue Sunday into Monday (along with dry conds) with highs in 
the 60s and 70s both days, warmest Monday. Deeper trough and 
associated cold front still on track for the middle of next week 
as a more progressive pattern ensues with periodic cold fronts and
breezy winds at times. Overall, seasonal temps can be expected 
next week, with mainly dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS Through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued At 528 AM MDT Fri Oct 7 2022

Fog and MVFR/IFR ceilings will gradually improve through the day
today. Conditions will become VFR across the area this afternoon,
then continue through Friday night and Saturday.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Freeze Warning until 9 AM MDT this morning for SDZ001-002-
     012>014-032-043-046-047-049.
WY...Freeze Warning until 9 AM MDT this morning for WYZ071.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...13