708 
FXUS61 KPBZ 071127
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
727 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Shower chances return today with much cooler temperatures 
through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Isolated to scattered light showers and sprinkles may accompany
a cold front the will cross the region today. With limited 
instability and moisture depth, any rain is expected to be 
light. The front will be through most of the region by 
afternoon, with cold and dry advection inhibiting temperature 
recovery.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Sfc high pres, under broad, high amplitude ern CONUS troughing,
will support a dry, but chilly weekend for the region. Expect 
temperature approx 10 degrees under the early October averages, 
with widespread frost possible on Sunday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Models indicate continued dry weather with moderating 
temperature early next week as warm advection/rising heights 
ensue in response to an advancing Plains trough. The approach 
and passage of that feature will bring the next rain chance by 
mid week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Condition deterioration to widespread MVFR should ensue with 
the approach and passage of a cold front. Light showers and 
sprinkles may accompany the front, but limited instability and 
moisture depth will preclude more than iso/sct coverage and 
-shra. Wind will veer NW with FROPA.

Brief return to VFR is expected late this afternoon/evening 
before cigs again lower into MVFR Friday night with NW flow.

.Outlook...
Cold northwest flow in the wake of the cold front may provide
continued ceiling restrictions into Saturday.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...