National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDSJT
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDSJT
Product Timestamp: 2022-10-07 08:10 UTC
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032 FXUS64 KSJT 070810 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 310 AM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 310 AM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022 At the upper levels, a broad trough will continue to dig in across the eastern US, while a closed upper low remains in place over the Desert Southwest. At the surface, the weak frontal boundary that stalled across the area yesterday is fizzling out, while another cold front is moving southward into Oklahoma at this time. This front will continue south and reach the I-10 corridor late tonight. Generally sunny to partly skies are expected during the day before the front arrives. This should allow high temperatures to reach the mid to upper 80s this afternoon. Late this afternoon, stronger southwest flow at the mid levels will advect additional moisture into the area. The airmass below about 8000ft will remain dry, but a few sprinkles may slip through at times. Chances for showers will increase slightly overnight as better dynamics and more moisture moves in, especially in the western Concho Valley. Low temperatures should be right around 60 yet again. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 147 PM CDT Thu Oct 6 2022 This weekend's weather will be largely driven by the evolution of a broad upper trough and a surface cold front dropping down into the region on Friday. Few models are showing the cooler air settling in south of the I-10 corridor across the Big Country, so confidence is lower at this time due to model disagreement. Cloud cover could be the most extensive on Saturday, with some higher low and mid level moisture over the area. This would hold high temperatures in the mid 70s to lower 80s across the area, but this is highly dependent on how far south the front reaches. Some return flow is expected on Sunday, which should allow highs to climb back up to the mid-80s area-wide. However, the pattern become much more uncertain as an upper-level low over the Desert Southwest will start to get absorbed by another upper trough diving southward along the west coast. Rain chances remain lower at this point, and anything that develops would be spotty and showery at best. Otherwise, temperatures should remain at or just above normal across the area for much of next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022 Mainly VFR conditions through Friday evening. Some mid to high clouds will start to work their way in through the day on Friday. Winds will be light and variable, increasing from the east to northeast in the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 87 59 80 58 / 10 10 10 10 San Angelo 87 60 82 59 / 10 10 10 10 Junction 87 59 86 59 / 10 10 0 0 Brownwood 89 60 84 59 / 10 10 0 0 Sweetwater 81 59 80 59 / 10 20 10 10 Ozona 84 59 81 59 / 10 10 10 10 Brady 86 61 84 59 / 10 10 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SK LONG TERM....TP AVIATION...SK