National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSILM
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSILM
Product Timestamp: 2022-08-13 19:47 UTC
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958
FNUS72 KILM 131947
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Juniper Rd #2...NCFS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
347 PM EDT Sat Aug 13 2022
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 EDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring fair and less humid conditions
this weekend. Low rain chances develop early next week as a front
slowly approaches.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (2714 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Min ADI.............3.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16 17 18 26 32 40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............72 70 70 69 68 67
RH..............76 78 79 80 80 80
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.7 7 6 6 6 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.9 7 7 7 7 9
Stability.......F F F F F F
LVORI...........4 4 4 5 5 4
ADI.............4 3 3 3 3 6
Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6 4 4 3 3 3
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...001 001 001 001 001 999
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Max mixing hgt......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 16 mph increasing to around 21
mph late in the morning, then decreasing to 6
to 9 mph late in the morning.
Max vent rate.......Fair (56592 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............71.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36 32 28 25 22 20 24 28 32 35 39 42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66 67 70 75 78 81 83 84 85 86 85 84
RH..............85 86 79 66 60 55 50 47 45 45 47 48
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.7 8 11 12 12 12 12 11 9 9 9 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.9 13 13 16 21 9 8 7 7 6 6 8
Stability.......F B B B B B B B B B B A
LVORI...........5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 15 25 43 71 38 38 37 41 34 34 52
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 11 19 34 57 31 32 32 36 30 30 42
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR
Sfc pres (in)...999 999 001 001 001 001 001 001 998 998 998 993
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (1151 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........36 26 19 15 21 30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............83 78 73 70 68 68
RH..............52 64 76 83 89 90
20 ft wind......E 5 E 5 E 3 NE 2 NE 2 N 2
20 ft wind gust.8 8 6 4 3 3
Mix hgt (ft)....3700 900 700 600 400 300
Transport wind..NE 9 E 9 NE 9 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5
Stability.......A F F F F F
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
ADI.............44 4 4 3 3 2
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.35 8 7 3 3 2
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
Sfc pres (in)...29.93 29.93 29.93 29.96 29.92 29.92
$$
Forecaster...31
Requested by...Keith Money (FBAN-T)
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2216613.2/ILM
.DELDT 08/13/22
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL keith.money@ncagr.gov