341 
FXUS64 KLCH 231446
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
946 AM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022

.DISCUSSION...

Main update this morning was to update rain chances this afternoon
mainly along the I-10 corridor with the latest CAM guidance. 


27

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 601 AM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022/ 

DISCUSSION...

For the 06/23/2022 1200 UTC TAF package.

AVIATION...

Mostly VFR conditions are anticipated through the period, however
isolated to widely scattered showers and storm will occur this
afternoon. This may produce brief lower vis and ceilings. Winds
will be light during the period.

05

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 308 AM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022/ 

SHORT TERM [Today through Saturday]...

A deep ridge remains over the lower Mississippi Valley and
northern gulf coast this morning. This will set up yet another day
of hot and humid conditions with a few isolated to widely
scattered mainly afternoon showers and storms. Apparent
temperatures should peak out in the 103 to 108 range, just at the
cusp of heat adv criteria. 

Near carbon copies will occur Friday and Saturday, however
temperatures may be about a degree warmer. This may facilitate 
the issuance of a heat advisory.

05

LONG TERM [Sunday through Wednesday]...

No big changes this morning for the extended period of the 
forecast, with the mid/upper level ridge centered just north of the 
area SUN progged to flatten out and weaken the first half of next 
week as a mid/upper trof traversing the Upper Midwest and Great 
Lakes on SUN digs into the Mid-Atlantic TUE/WED. 

With the ridge prevailing on SUN, heat will continue to be the main 
story with afternoon highs forecast to top out in the upper 90s to 
around 100. Some small rain chances come into the forecast late SUN 
afternoon and night as a weak backdoor front and its associated MSTR 
pool tries to push in from the east, but better rain chances are 
forecast for the work week as the digging ERN CONUS trof and 
weakening ridge allow another weak frontal boundary to sag into the 
area and stall near the coast. The resultant uptick in clouds and 
daily convective activity will help hold temperatures a little 
lower, generally closer to seasonal normals in the lower to mid 90s.

13

MARINE...

High pressure over the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southeast
Texas and southwest Louisiana. This will produce light and
variable winds through the rest of the week and into the weekend.

05

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$