AFOS product FWSFFC
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Product Timestamp: 2022-03-21 08:32 UTC

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FNUS72 KFFC 210832
FWSFFC

Spot Forecast for A.H. Stephens State Park Unit 2...Georgia Dept. Nat. Res. PHS
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
432 AM EDT Mon Mar 21 2022

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on March 21. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT TODAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY...

Conditions will once again by dry this afternoon with MinRH values
dropping to around 20 percent this afternoon. RH values will
begin to drop to below 30 percent after 1pm. 

20ft winds may start out of the NE/E this morning with very
light speeds of 5mph or less. The winds should switch around
to the SE between around 2pm, but speeds will remain light 
and should average 5-6mph through the remainder of the afternoon.
Transport winds will start NNE and then go E by mid morning. A 
shift to the SE should occur by the early to mid afternoon. Speeds
will be very light before 9am, but should pick up quickly thereafter.
The highest speeds should be during the mid morning with speeds 
up to 15-17mph. 

Smoke dispersal should reach the "good" range by late morning.  

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Max temperature.....Around 71. 
Min humidity........22 percent. 
Dewpoint............33 decreasing to 30 late in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late 
                    in the morning. 
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 0 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (300 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to good (37900 knot-ft) in the 
                    afternoon. 
LVORI...............3. 
ADI.................5 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then 
                    increasing to 58 late in the morning decreasing 
                    to 49 late in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large 
                    plume dominated fire growth. 
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. 
CEILING (KFT).......25. 

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........1   2   2   0   3   4   3   9   8   17  10  16  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Temp............42  42  41  46  54  60  63  66  68  69  70  70  
Dewpoint........32  32  32  34  35  35  34  33  31  30  30  30  
RH..............67  69  70  61  48  39  34  29  26  23  22  23  
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..1   2   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   
20 FT wind gust.4   6   6   7   10  10  10  8   8   8   8   8   
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.3 2.4 3.0 4.2 4.9 4.9 5.1 5.2 
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.0   0   2   9   14  17  16  13  9   8   8   8   
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
ADI.............0   1   2   9   24  53  60  62  51  47  48  47  
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   9   27  36  37  38  38  37  36  35  
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................No Tstms. 
Min temperature.....Around 47. 
Max humidity........91 percent. 
Dewpoint............33 increasing to 42. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph 
                    overnight, then becoming light after 3 am. 
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 6 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26700 knot-ft) early in the evening 
                    decreasing to poor (400 knot-ft) late in the 
                    night. 
LVORI...............4. 
ADI.................20 decreasing to 2. 
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. 
CEILING (KFT).......25. 

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........18  16  20  36  46  51  62  62  57  68  65  67  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Temp............69  66  60  56  54  53  52  51  50  50  49  48  
Dewpoint........31  33  35  36  37  37  38  40  41  42  43  43  
RH..............25  29  38  46  51  54  58  64  70  76  79  82  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   3   3   2   
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.6   3   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   3   2   
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   
ADI.............20  2   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   2   1   1   
Haines index....6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   
Vrate kt-ft/1K..27  9   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  

$$
Forecaster...NListemaa
Requested by...Phil Delestrez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2206317.0/FFC
.DELDT 03/21/22
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL Phil.Delestrez@dnr.ga.gov