AFOS product FWSMHX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSMHX
Product Timestamp: 2022-02-11 13:26 UTC

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788 
FNUS72 KMHX 111326
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for IE...USMC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
826 AM EST Fri Feb 11 2022

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 11. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions 
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather 
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure dominates through Saturday. A cold front and 
coastal low will impact the region late weekend. Cool high 
pressure will build in early next week. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 67. 
Min humidity........41 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light SWerly winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......Max 1300 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....West 1 to 2 mph shifting to the south 2 to 7 
                    mph late in the morning, then increasing to 
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon. 
Vent Rate...........Max 11385 mph-ft. 
LVORI...............Max 3. 
ADI.................Max 14. 
Haines index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 

TIME (EST)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%)............9   6   15  33  42  46  54  58  57  
Weather cov........                                    
Weather type.......                                    
Tstm cov...........                                    
Temp...............50  55  59  62  64  65  65  65  63  
RH.................63  55  47  44  41  41  43  46  52  
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT wind spd.....1   2   3   4   6   7   8   8   8   
20 FT wind gust....        5   5       9   14  14  14  
Mix hgt (kft)......0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.6 
Transp wind dir....W   W   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
Transp wind spd....2   1   2   3   3   7   12  12  12  
LVORI..............3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   
ADI................2   1   3   5   6   9   14  9   9   
Haines index.......6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   
VRate mph-ft/1000..1   1   2   4   5   7   11  9   7   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. 
Min temperature.....Around 45. 
Max humidity........89 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light. 
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph shifting to the west 
                    around 8 mph early in the morning. 
Vent Rate...........Min 1954 mph-ft. 
LVORI...............Max 6. 
ADI.................Min 3. 
Haines index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%)............55  53  51  49  48  43  32  26  27  29  30  28  
Weather cov........                                                
Weather type.......                                                
Tstm cov...........                                                
Temp...............60  57  55  53  52  51  51  50  49  49  48  47  
RH.................60  69  77  80  83  86  86  86  89  86  89  89  
20 FT wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  
20 FT wind spd.....8   7   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   
20 FT wind gust....14  9           5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   
Mix hgt (kft)......0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 
Transp wind dir....S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   
Transp wind spd....15  15  15  15  12  8   8   9   6   6   8   8   
LVORI..............2   3   4   4   4   5   6   5   6   6   6   6   
ADI................13  13  10  10  8   5   4   4   3   3   4   4   
Haines index.......6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   
VRate mph-ft/1000..7   8   8   7   5   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 68. 
Min humidity........45 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph. 
Mixing height.......Max 3600 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Max 46345 mph-ft. 
LVORI...............Max 5. 
ADI.................Max 49. 
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
Sky (%)............25     22     20     27     31     35     
Weather cov........                                          
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov...........                                          
Temp...............47     51     59     64     66     65     
RH.................86     74     57     48     45     48     
20 ft wind.........SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   SW 5   SW 6   S 6    
20 ft wind gust....5      5      5      9      9      9      
Mix hgt (ft).......300    400    1100   3100   2700   1000   
Transport wind.....W 8    W 12   W 14   W 15   W 13   SW 15  
LVORI..............5      3      2      1      1      2      
ADI................6      9      18     49     39     17     
Haines index.......5      5      5      5      5      5      
VRate mph-ft/1000..3      4      14     46     35     15     

$$
Forecaster...Bowen
Requested by...J Cumbo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2202743.0/MHX
.DELDT 02/11/22
.EMAIL joshua.cumbo@usmc.mil