856 
FXUS63 KOAX 241716
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1116 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022

...Updated Aviation Forecast Discussion...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022

Today...

An arctic air mass continued to shift off to our east overnight, 
allowing warmer air to creep in. Temperatures across much of the
area slowly rose, reaching the low to mid 40s at many locations 
by 2 AM.

An approaching shortwave will draw colder air back into the central 
plains today. Highs in the low 30s will be reached early this 
morning across parts of northeast Nebraska western Iowa. Farther 
south, along the Kansas border, temperatures could approach 50, 
before they begin to drop early this afternoon. A light snow 
shower or two could creep into the forecast area with the 
advancing disturbance Monday morning, however little to no 
accumulation is expected. 

Monday Night through Wednesday...

Cold air will continue to pour into the region Monday night and 
Tuesday. Overnight, lows will dip into the single digits above and 
below 0F, but wind chills will make it feel more like -5 to -15. 
Apparent temperatures for a few locations in western Iowa or far 
northeast Nebraska could even hit -20.  Not much relief from the 
cold is expected Tuesday afternoon, with highs only reaching the 
teens and 20s. Another smattering of snowflakes may try to creep 
into parts of eastern Nebraska Tuesday, however the better 
moisture and upper level support will remain off to our west. 

Yet another chilly morning is anticipated for Wednesday, with 
wind chills dropping to -5 to -15. Thankfully, our lack of snow 
cover will allow temperatures to rebound nicely with the return of
southwesterly flow. Highs are expected to bounce back into the 
30s and 40s Wednesday afternoon. 

Thursday and Beyond...

Cold air continues to ebb and flow over the region through late
this week. Our next dry cold front will arrive Thursday, dropping
highs back into the 30s. A ridge finally looks to assert itself 
over the western half of the CONUS Friday and into the weekend, 
reestablishing and maintaining above normal temperatures and dry 
conditions through Sunday. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1116 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022

Gusty north winds will continue this afternoon before diminishing
this evening into tonight. Post-frontal MVFR clouds will likely 
persist at KOMA for the next hour or two with prevailing VFR 
conditions thereafter.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...Mead