606 
FXUS62 KMLB 171442
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
943 AM EST Mon Jan 17 2022

.DISCUSSION...

...Breezy, Cooler/Drier Today, Cold Tonight...

...Hazardous Conditions Continue across the Local Atlantic Waters...

Current-Tonight...Only cosmetic changes to ongoing forecast. A 
fairly tight pressure gradient will exist today as WNW winds pick up 
to 15-20 mph and gusty across much of the area. Winds will veer a 
bit more to NW this evening and gradually diminish to around 5 mph. 
Expect another shot of dry/cold air filtering down the peninsula 
tonight with some of the coldest temperatures of the season. 
Decreasing clouds this morning with MClear skies tonight.

Cooler today with readings in the L60s north of I-4 and M-U60s 
southward thru Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast. Expect 
temperatures to drop pretty quickly after sunset with eventual lows 
overnight in the U30s to L40s areawide, except some M30s across 
normally cooler rural locations over the interior. Some patchy frost 
will also be possible over our normally cooler (rural) spots of the 
interior, especially areas that are sheltered. We are NOT 
anticipating any freeze/wind chill (winds too low) products 
(advisory/warning) across ECFL overnight. 

&&

.AVIATION...Some pesky MVFR CIGs this morning across the I-4 
corridor, but expecting mainly VFR for the remainder of today and 
into tonight. A fairly tight gradient continues as westerly winds 
increase to 15-20 kts and gusty across much of ECFL late this 
morning/afternoon before diminishing this evening to around 5 kts 
out of the NW. A weak, reinforcing frontal trough will push across 
the area with additional dry/cold air. 

&&

.MARINE...Today-Tonight...A Small Craft Advisory continues 
for all marine legs. Hazardous marine conditions continue into 
tonight. WNW winds 20-25 kts and gusty over the open Atlc becoming 
NW and gradually decreasing tonight, eventually falling to 14-16 kts 
by daybreak Tue morning. Seas 4-6 ft near shore and 6-9 ft over the 
Gulf Stream will slowly subside to 3-4 ft near shore and 4-6 ft Gulf 
Stream by daybreak Tue morning. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Previous...Today...Cooler and drier conditions with 
breezy west winds 15-20 mph and gusty. Min RH values generally in 
the 40s this afternoon but could dip below 40 percent north of I 4. 
Drier/colder air, yet, will filter down the peninsula tonight. 
Dispersion values will be Very Good with westerly sfc and transport 
winds.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Tuesday for Flagler Beach to 
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to 
     Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to 
     Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 3 AM EST Tuesday 
     for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard 
     County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Gale Warning until 7 AM EST this morning for Flagler Beach to 
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to 
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to 
     Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

$$

Sedlock/Weitlich/Haley