766 
FXUS62 KFFC 071808
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
108 PM EST Sun Nov 7 2021

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1151 AM EST Sun Nov 7 2021/ 

UPDATE...
Sunny skies under a northwest flow will persist through this
afternoon. No changes planned at this time as forecast remains on
track.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 630 AM EST Sun Nov 7 2021/ 

.12Z Aviation Forecast Discussion...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 500 AM EST Sun Nov 7 2021/ 

SHORT TERM /Today through Monday/...

The coastal low is on its way out to sea today, and high pressure 
will prevail through the forecast period. Clear skies across the 
western half of the area this morning will overtake the entire area 
through the day, and temperatures will warm near normal this 
afternoon under sunny skies.

Light winds and clear skies will bring another chilly night, though 
temperatures will moderate a few degrees as compared to this 
morning. Thus, while patchy frost can be expected, particularly in 
the northeast Georgia mountain counties, will hold off on any 
frost/freeze headlines at this point. Surface high pressure remains 
in place and upper ridging will build eastward on Monday leading to 
continued sunny skies and temperatures warming above normal to near 
or just above 70 degrees areawide.

RW

LONG TERM /Monday Night through Saturday/...

Beginning of fcst period starts with warmer than normal highs
Tues/Wed with continued upper ridging and dry airmass in place,
then focus shifts to an approaching front and moisture axis
progged to influence the area late Thursday into Friday along the
eastern upper wave energy of a broad amplified trough centered in
the central CONUS to Great Lakes. Guidance has some timing
differences with this feature and overall it is quite elongated
and starved of instability, so have covered with some increasing
chance pops for showers Thursday, then likely in the north and
west Thursday night, with high end chance Friday. Behind the
front, the upper trough continues to dig farther south and there
is some more discrepancy on the intensity of wave energy near the
main axis along with the amount of moisture present that could 
flirt with parts of north GA Saturday night into Sunday. Thermal
profiles could be rather cold as well so will need to monitor any
light rain/snow potential in future updates, but is very far out
at this point.

Baker

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
VFR conditions will prevail with clear skies through the period. 
Winds will remain NW at 4-8 kts the afternoon before diminishing 
to mostly light overnight. May briefly see NE winds near 3-5kts 
between 11-20Z tomorrow.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence all elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          67  39  71  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Atlanta         65  41  70  44 /   0   0   0   0 
Blairsville     63  34  69  41 /   0   0   0   0 
Cartersville    64  38  69  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Columbus        69  41  72  43 /   0   0   0   0 
Gainesville     66  41  70  45 /   0   0   0   0 
Macon           69  39  73  41 /   0   0   0   0 
Rome            66  40  72  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Peachtree City  66  39  71  41 /   0   0   0   0 
Vidalia         65  41  68  44 /   5   0   0   0 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....Baker
AVIATION...Atwell