National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDMEG
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDMEG
Product Timestamp: 2021-10-25 20:14 UTC
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761 FXUS64 KMEG 252014 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 314 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021 .DISCUSSION... Dry and mild conditions are expected again tomorrow as a ridge shifts out of the Plains and across the Mississippi River Valley. Temperatures will be a bit cooler tomorrow featuring highs in the mid 60s to near 70 with slightly warmer temperatures returning Wednesday. By Wednesday morning the ridge will be centered over middle Tennessee and Alabama. As a result, deep southwest flow will setup from South Texas across the Midsouth. A closed midlevel low will deepen as it moves across the Plains Wednesday and across the Midsouth Thursday. If this scenario pans out even remotely close to what multiple models are forecasting, we should see an extended period of light to moderate rain, probably with only minimal thunder. Expect rain to overspread the Midsouth midday Wednesday and continue through at least midday Friday. Any thunderstorms would be most likely Wednesday afternoon. Severe storms do not look likely. An occluded front associated with the upper level low will move across the Midsouth Thursday. Some heavy rain is possible Wednesday and possibly Thursday, but for now we are only expecting about an inch of rain Wednesday through Friday. By Friday the low should be east of the Midsouth. Wrap around showers would most likely be light rain and or drizzle. The weekend looks drier. Our coolest temperatures out of the next 7 days should occur Saturday and Sunday mornings when we should see lots of temperatures in the middle to upper 40s. High temperatures are expected to be in the 60s Saturday into early next week. 30 && .AVIATION...18Z TAFs Post-frontal stratus clouds will result in MVFR conditions this afternoon at MKL then improve to VFR conditions thereafter. VFR conditions expected to prevail elsewhere. Gusty NW/NNW winds will gradually diminish this evening then increase to N/NNE winds between 5-8 kts on Tuesday. CJC && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$