075 
FXUS62 KJAX 171947
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
347 PM EDT Sun Oct 17 2021


.NEAR TERM [Tonight through Monday]...High pressure building in
from the northwest will provide dry and cool weather. The pressure
gradient will begin to weaken tonight with winds dropping off 
over inland areas. Below average temperatures tonight will fall 
into the mid/upper 40s inland...and into the 50s near the coast 
where light NNE winds will persist. 

.SHORT TERM [Monday night through Wednesday night]...Surface high
pressure centered over the central Appalachians will shift off the
east coast on Wednesday. Short wave ridge aloft over the southeast
will maintain the dry weather with moderating temperatures. Daily 
highs will warm back into the 80s. Lows will still be below 
average Monday night...warming to above average by Wednesday 
night.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Sunday]...Another upper trough in a
progressive flow will move to the east coast late week. This will
bring another cold front through the area on Friday with a slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms with weak lift and limited 
moisture available. Above average temperatures ahead of the front
will return to average next weekend.

&&

.MARINE...Tight pressure gradient will begin to weaken tonight
allowing a decrease in winds and seas. Advisory conditions will
end this evening with Caution levels continuing overnight. Winds
and seas will be continue the downward trend through the week as
high pressure to the north weakens and moves offshore. A cold
front will push into the area on Friday.  

Rip Currents: Moderate to high risk of rip currents due to strong
onshore winds and rough surf. 

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  42  74  46  79  51 /   0   0   0   0   0 
SSI  54  75  58  78  62 /   0   0   0   0   0 
JAX  53  76  57  80  61 /   0   0   0   0   0 
SGJ  60  77  64  80  66 /   0   0   0   0   0 
GNV  49  79  54  83  57 /   0   0   0   0   0 
OCF  51  80  57  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal 
     Duval-Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns.

GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal 
     waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL 
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler 
     Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to 
     Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina 
     Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. 
     Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&