750 
FNUS86 KLOX 141624
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

ECC029-151030-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR GUSTY 
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY  DUE
TO PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Forecast still appears on track for the Santa Ana event which is
expected to begin early Friday morning and continue through much of
Saturday. For today there will be a period of northeast winds 
gusting between 20 and 30 mph and relative humidities in the teens 
and high single digits through parts of Ventura and Los Angeles 
Counties as well as through parts of San Luis Obispo County which 
may produce elevated fire weather conditions. Stronger northeast 
winds kick in late tonight and early Friday morning through the
Santa Ana wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Winds in  these areas will gust between 30 and 45 mph with isolated
areas  gusting to around 55 mph and strongest in the late morning
and early  afternoon. After poor overnight recoveries over most of
the district  tonight, relative humidites will fall in the morning
to produce  widespread values in the single digits and low teens.
Another night  of poor humidity recoveries on Friday night will be
followed by a  second surge of northeast winds on Saturday morning,
although not  quite as strong as Friday's winds, along with
continued very low  humidities. Winds will relax some on Saturday
afternoon, however  humidities will remain very low through the day.
In addition to these gusty winds and low humidities, areas from the
valleys to the coast  will be very warm as high temperatures between
80 and 90 are expected on both Friday and Saturday. This period of
gusty northeast winds  and the very low humidities will therefore
produce critical fire  weather conditions for much of Friday and
Saturday through much of  Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

As an upper level trof approaches the west coast, onshore flow kicks
in on Sunday for much cooler temperatures and some increase in 
humidities, however gusty onshore winds and humidities in the teens 
could once again produce elevated fire weather conditions for parts 
of the Los Angeles County mountains and the Antelope Valley. 
Continued cooling is expected on Monday before a weak ridge of high 
pressure builds over the area on Wednesday for a brief warming and
drying trend.


...Discussion from Monterey...

...Gusty northerly winds with rapidly lowering humidity interior  North
Bay Mountains and East Bay Hills this morning into the early
afternoon...

Gusty northerly winds will increase this morning in the mountains of
Napa County and move into interior East Bay through the early
afternoon. This will be accompanied by rapidly lowering humidity
levels, resulting in near critical fire weather conditions. Winds
will ease this afternoon. A warming trend is  expected through
Saturday with decreasing humidity and moderate overnight recoveries.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. 
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-151030-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR GUSTY 
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY  DUE
TO PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Forecast still appears on track for the Santa Ana event which is
expected to begin early Friday morning and continue through much of
Saturday. For today there will be a period of northeast winds 
gusting between 20 and 30 mph and relative humidities in the teens 
and high single digits through parts of Ventura and Los Angeles 
Counties as well as through parts of San Luis Obispo County which 
may produce elevated fire weather conditions. Stronger northeast 
winds kick in late tonight and early Friday morning through the
Santa Ana wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Winds in  these areas will gust between 30 and 45 mph with isolated
areas  gusting to around 55 mph and strongest in the late morning
and early  afternoon. After poor overnight recoveries over most of
the district  tonight, relative humidites will fall in the morning
to produce  widespread values in the single digits and low teens.
Another night  of poor humidity recoveries on Friday night will be
followed by a  second surge of northeast winds on Saturday morning,
although not  quite as strong as Friday's winds, along with
continued very low  humidities. Winds will relax some on Saturday
afternoon, however  humidities will remain very low through the day.
In addition to these gusty winds and low humidities, areas from the
valleys to the coast  will be very warm as high temperatures between
80 and 90 are expected on both Friday and Saturday. This period of
gusty northeast winds  and the very low humidities will therefore
produce critical fire  weather conditions for much of Friday and
Saturday through much of  Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

As an upper level trof approaches the west coast, onshore flow kicks
in on Sunday for much cooler temperatures and some increase in 
humidities, however gusty onshore winds and humidities in the teens 
could once again produce elevated fire weather conditions for parts 
of the Los Angeles County mountains and the Antelope Valley. 
Continued cooling is expected on Monday before a weak ridge of high 
pressure builds over the area on Wednesday for a brief warming and
drying trend.


$$

ECC031-151030-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR GUSTY 
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY  DUE
TO PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Forecast still appears on track for the Santa Ana event which is
expected to begin early Friday morning and continue through much of
Saturday. For today there will be a period of northeast winds 
gusting between 20 and 30 mph and relative humidities in the teens 
and high single digits through parts of Ventura and Los Angeles 
Counties as well as through parts of San Luis Obispo County which 
may produce elevated fire weather conditions. Stronger northeast 
winds kick in late tonight and early Friday morning through the
Santa Ana wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Winds in  these areas will gust between 30 and 45 mph with isolated
areas  gusting to around 55 mph and strongest in the late morning
and early  afternoon. After poor overnight recoveries over most of
the district  tonight, relative humidites will fall in the morning
to produce  widespread values in the single digits and low teens.
Another night  of poor humidity recoveries on Friday night will be
followed by a  second surge of northeast winds on Saturday morning,
although not  quite as strong as Friday's winds, along with
continued very low  humidities. Winds will relax some on Saturday
afternoon, however  humidities will remain very low through the day.
In addition to these gusty winds and low humidities, areas from the
valleys to the coast  will be very warm as high temperatures between
80 and 90 are expected on both Friday and Saturday. This period of
gusty northeast winds  and the very low humidities will therefore
produce critical fire  weather conditions for much of Friday and
Saturday through much of  Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

As an upper level trof approaches the west coast, onshore flow kicks
in on Sunday for much cooler temperatures and some increase in 
humidities, however gusty onshore winds and humidities in the teens 
could once again produce elevated fire weather conditions for parts 
of the Los Angeles County mountains and the Antelope Valley. 
Continued cooling is expected on Monday before a weak ridge of high 
pressure builds over the area on Wednesday for a brief warming and
drying trend.


$$

ECC024-151030-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR GUSTY 
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY  DUE
TO PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Forecast still appears on track for the Santa Ana event which is
expected to begin early Friday morning and continue through much of
Saturday. For today there will be a period of northeast winds 
gusting between 20 and 30 mph and relative humidities in the teens 
and high single digits through parts of Ventura and Los Angeles 
Counties as well as through parts of San Luis Obispo County which 
may produce elevated fire weather conditions. Stronger northeast 
winds kick in late tonight and early Friday morning through the
Santa Ana wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Winds in  these areas will gust between 30 and 45 mph with isolated
areas  gusting to around 55 mph and strongest in the late morning
and early  afternoon. After poor overnight recoveries over most of
the district  tonight, relative humidites will fall in the morning
to produce  widespread values in the single digits and low teens.
Another night  of poor humidity recoveries on Friday night will be
followed by a  second surge of northeast winds on Saturday morning,
although not  quite as strong as Friday's winds, along with
continued very low  humidities. Winds will relax some on Saturday
afternoon, however  humidities will remain very low through the day.
In addition to these gusty winds and low humidities, areas from the
valleys to the coast  will be very warm as high temperatures between
80 and 90 are expected on both Friday and Saturday. This period of
gusty northeast winds  and the very low humidities will therefore
produce critical fire  weather conditions for much of Friday and
Saturday through much of  Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

As an upper level trof approaches the west coast, onshore flow kicks
in on Sunday for much cooler temperatures and some increase in 
humidities, however gusty onshore winds and humidities in the teens 
could once again produce elevated fire weather conditions for parts 
of the Los Angeles County mountains and the Antelope Valley. 
Continued cooling is expected on Monday before a weak ridge of high 
pressure builds over the area on Wednesday for a brief warming and
drying trend.


$$

ECC032-151030-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR GUSTY 
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY  DUE
TO PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Forecast still appears on track for the Santa Ana event which is
expected to begin early Friday morning and continue through much of
Saturday. For today there will be a period of northeast winds 
gusting between 20 and 30 mph and relative humidities in the teens 
and high single digits through parts of Ventura and Los Angeles 
Counties as well as through parts of San Luis Obispo County which 
may produce elevated fire weather conditions. Stronger northeast 
winds kick in late tonight and early Friday morning through the
Santa Ana wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Winds in  these areas will gust between 30 and 45 mph with isolated
areas  gusting to around 55 mph and strongest in the late morning
and early  afternoon. After poor overnight recoveries over most of
the district  tonight, relative humidites will fall in the morning
to produce  widespread values in the single digits and low teens.
Another night  of poor humidity recoveries on Friday night will be
followed by a  second surge of northeast winds on Saturday morning,
although not  quite as strong as Friday's winds, along with
continued very low  humidities. Winds will relax some on Saturday
afternoon, however  humidities will remain very low through the day.
In addition to these gusty winds and low humidities, areas from the
valleys to the coast  will be very warm as high temperatures between
80 and 90 are expected on both Friday and Saturday. This period of
gusty northeast winds  and the very low humidities will therefore
produce critical fire  weather conditions for much of Friday and
Saturday through much of  Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

As an upper level trof approaches the west coast, onshore flow kicks
in on Sunday for much cooler temperatures and some increase in 
humidities, however gusty onshore winds and humidities in the teens 
could once again produce elevated fire weather conditions for parts 
of the Los Angeles County mountains and the Antelope Valley. 
Continued cooling is expected on Monday before a weak ridge of high 
pressure builds over the area on Wednesday for a brief warming and
drying trend.


$$

ECC030-151030-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
924 AM PDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR GUSTY 
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY  DUE
TO PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Forecast still appears on track for the Santa Ana event which is
expected to begin early Friday morning and continue through much of
Saturday. For today there will be a period of northeast winds 
gusting between 20 and 30 mph and relative humidities in the teens 
and high single digits through parts of Ventura and Los Angeles 
Counties as well as through parts of San Luis Obispo County which 
may produce elevated fire weather conditions. Stronger northeast 
winds kick in late tonight and early Friday morning through the
Santa Ana wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Winds in  these areas will gust between 30 and 45 mph with isolated
areas  gusting to around 55 mph and strongest in the late morning
and early  afternoon. After poor overnight recoveries over most of
the district  tonight, relative humidites will fall in the morning
to produce  widespread values in the single digits and low teens.
Another night  of poor humidity recoveries on Friday night will be
followed by a  second surge of northeast winds on Saturday morning,
although not  quite as strong as Friday's winds, along with
continued very low  humidities. Winds will relax some on Saturday
afternoon, however  humidities will remain very low through the day.
In addition to these gusty winds and low humidities, areas from the
valleys to the coast  will be very warm as high temperatures between
80 and 90 are expected on both Friday and Saturday. This period of
gusty northeast winds  and the very low humidities will therefore
produce critical fire  weather conditions for much of Friday and
Saturday through much of  Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.

As an upper level trof approaches the west coast, onshore flow kicks
in on Sunday for much cooler temperatures and some increase in 
humidities, however gusty onshore winds and humidities in the teens 
could once again produce elevated fire weather conditions for parts 
of the Los Angeles County mountains and the Antelope Valley. 
Continued cooling is expected on Monday before a weak ridge of high 
pressure builds over the area on Wednesday for a brief warming and
drying trend.


$$