032 
FXUS64 KMEG 061504
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1004 AM CDT Mon Sep 6 2021

.DISCUSSION...

A beautiful day is expected for this Mid-South this Labor Day. 
Fog has dispersed this morning allowing for clear skies and 
current temperatures in the low 70s. Temperatures will increase
this afternoon and areas across the Mid-South should see highs in
the low to mid 80s. Only changes made to the forecast were to sky
coverage and temperatures. Otherwise the rest of the forecast
looks to be on track. Happy Labor Day!

SWB


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 318 AM CDT Mon Sep 6 2021/ 

DISCUSSION...
Frontal system that moved through the Mid-South on Sunday is just
to the south of the area and will have some lingering clouds in
the southern part of the forecast area. Also, this morning there
are some locations with fog which will dissipate quickly after 
sunrise. At this time, fog is to "spotty" to put out an dense fog
advisory, however, will watch it over then next couple of hours,
as the fog has been varying in intensity quite a bit.

The models agree on the general weather pattern with the an upper
level ridge to the west and a large upper level trough to the
east. The ridge will move toward the Mid-South by the end of the
week. However, at the surface we have the frontal system that
moved through on Monday which has essentially stalled just to the
south of the area and will bring some rain chances in the 
afternoon though Tuesday for some locations in north Mississippi.
However, a second frontal system will move through the area
beginning Tuesday night into Wednesday and this front will push
the "original" front even further south and thus a high pressure
system will take hold over the Mid-South by the end of the week. 

Rain chances from the frontal system on Tuesday night/Wednesday
do increase, yet it is very slight increase that won't even make
wording into the zones. 

Temperatures this week will be near normal or slightly below with
highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the 60s or upper 50s. 
TLSJr

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFs

Patchy fog near MKL should dissipate soon but is likely to develop
again toward the end of the TAF cycle. Otherwise VFR conditions
are expected. Winds will be from the east to northeast, 4-7kt
today light overnight. 

30

&&


.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$