AFOS product AFDTSA
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDTSA
Product Timestamp: 2021-08-02 19:04 UTC

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040 
FXUS64 KTSA 021904
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
204 PM CDT Mon Aug 2 2021

.DISCUSSION...
A very hazy but pleasant afternoon is underway across eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas as wildfire smoke from the Pacific
Northwest/Canada continues to filter into the area. The persistent
northwest flow aloft over the next few days will maintain the
smokey/hazy conditions through much of the first part of the week
at least. 

Otherwise... several below normal days are in store for the first
week of August, with highs topping out mostly in the 80s and 
lower humidity values keeping heat indices down as well. Morning 
lows will generally be in the low to mid 60s, though a few 
locations could drop into the upper 50s across far northeast 
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, especially Wednesday morning when
surface high pressure settle over the area. A few isolated 
showers and storms are possible in the afternoon today and 
tomorrow, especially across southeast Oklahoma and western 
Arkansas where better low level moisture remains leading to higher
instability in those locations. Some patchy fog will
also be possible tonight, especially across parts of northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

Trends continue to suggest an upper wave dropping southeast into
the region Thursday night into Friday which could bring at least
some slight rain chances to parts of northeast Oklahoma and 
northwest Arkansas. Guidance keeps most of the rain north of the 
area, but later forecasts may need to up chances as it gets 
closer. This wave will quickly exit and mid level heights begin to
rise heading into the weekend bringing a return to summertime 
heat and humidity Friday and especially into the weekend with heat
indices returning to the 105-110 range. 

Bowlan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  88  65  89 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   69  86  68  88 /  10  20   0   0 
MLC   65  87  64  89 /   0   0   0   0 
BVO   59  85  59  86 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   60  83  58  83 /  10  20   0   0 
BYV   63  82  61  83 /  20  20   0  10 
MKO   65  85  64  86 /   0   0   0   0 
MIO   62  83  61  85 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   64  86  63  87 /   0   0   0   0 
HHW   69  86  67  87 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....04