081 
FNUS53 KAPX 260719
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
319 AM EDT Wed May 26 2021

...Breezy and turning cooler today...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will sweep through Northern Michigan this 
morning. Remaining showers will come to an end by around mid 
morning...with decreasing clouds through the rest of today and into 
tonight. Both temperatures and relative humidities will drop 
throughout today as cooler and drier air move into our region. 
Breezy conditions are expected today as surface winds shift to the 
northwest behind the front.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-262015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
319 AM EDT Wed May 26 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). 
Max Temperature.....70-75...except around 60 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (920). 
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). 
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 43-48 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler...except 18 degrees cooler 
                    near the coast. 
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 65-70 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph decreasing to around 9 
                    mph after midnight. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 49-54 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........25-30 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 13 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). 
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
319 AM EDT Wed May 26 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 59-64 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1260). 
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). 
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 43-48 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 60-65 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph decreasing to 
                    around 5 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 30 
                    mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 24 mph decreasing to around 12 
                    mph after midnight. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 44-49 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........26-31 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (400). 
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ020-025>027-262015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
319 AM EDT Wed May 26 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). 
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 54-59 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840). 
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest 
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of frost 
                    after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....34-39...except 45-50 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler...except 16 degrees cooler 
                    near the coast. 
Max Humidity........75-80 percent...except 60-65 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 23 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then 
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61...except around 51 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........30-35 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 13 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). 
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in. 


$$

MIZ031>033-262015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
319 AM EDT Wed May 26 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 59-64 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 51-56 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (950). 
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of frost 
                    after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....33-38...except around 41 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler...except 17 degrees cooler 
                    near the coast. 
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 65-70 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then 
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). 
Max Temperature.....58-63. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........28-33 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (310). 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in. 


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
319 AM EDT Wed May 26 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....73-78. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1370). 
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost 
                    after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....34-39. 
   24 HR Trend......25 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........72-77 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph decreasing to around 9 
                    mph after midnight. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of frost 
                    until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....58-63. 
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........27-32 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300). 
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. 


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

MR