395 
FNUS53 KAPX 241924
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
324 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

...Showers and thunder with gusty winds Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure system moving our way tonight will 
lead to potential for showers and storms to develop across the region.
Heaviest rainfall tonight is expected across upper Michigan. Locally 
heavy downpours are possible tonight and with any storms that develop
Tuesday. Southwest winds will increase Tuesday ahead of a cold front 
and shift more west to northwest Wednesday as the front drops through 
Michigan. Much cooler and drier weather is expected behind this cold
front.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-250815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
324 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....63-68. 
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer 
                    near the coast. 
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 71-76 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 
                    1200. 
Max Temperature.....82-87...except around 71 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 47-52 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1280). 
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 27 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers. 
Min Temperature.....58-63. 
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. 
Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60). 
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.21 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 57-62 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 43-48 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1090). 
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. 


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-250815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
324 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). 
Min Temperature.....60-65. 
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer...except 12 degrees warmer 
                    near the coast. 
Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 11 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 69-74 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1480). 
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 27 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers. 
Min Temperature.....59-64. 
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50). 
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 58-63 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........31-36 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1830). 
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 27 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. 


$$

MIZ020-025>027-250815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
324 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....64-69. 
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 71-76 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 10 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain 
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 58-63 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the 
                    coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 
                    mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1360). 
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 27 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers. 
Min Temperature.....56-61. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except unchanged along the 
                    coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50). 
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.19 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 53-58 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1080). 
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph shifting to the 
                    northwest around 24 mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. 


$$

MIZ031>033-250815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
324 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). 
Min Temperature.....64-69. 
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........85-90 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of 
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 
                    1200. 
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 69-74 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 49-54 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1550). 
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 30 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers. 
Min Temperature.....55-60. 
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60). 
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.23 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then 
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of rain showers 
                    until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 60-65 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 45-50 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1240). 
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. 


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-250815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
324 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). 
Min Temperature.....62-67. 
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........87-92 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of 
                    showers until 1200, then chance of showers and 
                    slight chance of thunderstorms. 
Max Temperature.....82-87. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (2230). 
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 33 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers. 
Min Temperature.....59-64. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80). 
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.16 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....76-81. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........31-36 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (2090). 
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 27 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. 


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. AREAS OF FROST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

FEF