422 
FXUS64 KMAF 301905
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
205 PM CDT Fri Apr 30 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Cut off low over Nrn Mexico this morning will wobble around the 
border skirting the Big Bend early Saturday before moving into 
Central TX Saturday night.  This low will open up into a trough as 
it lifts across NE TX Sunday and exits the state.  Will have a brief 
flat ridge over the area Sunday before the next trough works down 
through CA and into AZ Sunday night moving into NM Monday.  This 
trough will swing across W TX Tuesday with another trough diving 
down out of CO Wednesday and across the Panhandle.

Have abundant clouds over the area again today but temps warmer as 
more breaks.  After morning lows in the 40s and 50s highs Saturday 
should climb into the 70s over most of the region.  Sunday expected 
to be much warmer as sunny skies and a downslope W wind push highs 
into the upper 80s to lower 90s.  Temps will be near normal Monday 
before the next cold front moves in early Tuesday briefly knocking 
highs down into the 70s.  Readings warm back into the 80s Wednesday.

Today is the 4th day in a row to receive very beneficial rainfall. 
Yesterday MAF set a daily rainfall record with 1.49 inches... CNM 
had 1.85... and Andrews reported the most with 3.20 inches of rain. 
As of 19z have ongoing light to moderate showers over the Trans 
Pecos.  Model qpf shows rain developing tonight across the Permian 
Basin down to the Big Bend and as far west as Van Horn.  Potential 
for locally heavy rain again tonight.  Rain starts shifting east 
Saturday and almost out of the area by Saturday night as rain ends 
from W to E.
   
A Pacific front will sweep across the area Sunday with a gusty W 
wind in its wake.  Will go ahead and issue a High Wind Watch for the 
Guadalupes on Sunday... high wind event may continue through Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     54  69  55  88 /  70  60  20   0 
Carlsbad                       49  77  53  90 /  50  10   0   0 
Dryden                         56  75  57  91 /  60  80  10   0 
Fort Stockton                  52  73  56  91 /  50  50  10   0 
Guadalupe Pass                 47  67  57  84 /  50  10   0   0 
Hobbs                          48  73  52  88 /  30  20   0   0 
Marfa                          44  70  45  86 /  70  40   0   0 
Midland Intl Airport           52  70  55  89 /  60  50  10   0 
Odessa                         52  70  55  89 /  60  50  10   0 
Wink                           51  75  55  93 /  50  40  10   0 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon for 
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon for 
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware 
     Mountains.

&&

$$

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