838 
FXUS64 KLCH 040449
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1149 PM CDT Sat Apr 3 2021

.DISCUSSION...
06Z TAFS

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. SCT to BKN high
clouds will continue to traverse the region through the day with
perhaps some SCT mid level clouds during the afternoon. Surface
high pressure just east of the area will yield calm winds early
this morning followed by light southeasterly flow through the day.

Jones

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 628 PM CDT Sat Apr 3 2021/ 

DISCUSSION...
00Z TAFS

AVIATION...
Scattered light showers continue to dot the radar scope early this
evening in response to a weak upper level disturbance. There is 
some question as to how much of this is actually reaching the 
surface, but brief periods of light showers will be possible at 
BPT and LCH over the next couple of hours before the precip ends 
after sunset.

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. High pressure 
just east of the region will allow winds to calm overnight and 
maintain a light southeasterly flow during the day Sunday.

Jones

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 254 PM CDT Sat Apr 3 2021/ 

DISCUSSION...
Wx map shows 1030mb sfc high pressure ridge from Louisiana
northeastward to the Carolinas. This is continuing a mainly 
easterly flow over the region. Satellite imagery showing mostly 
cloudy to cloudy skies. Temperatures held down a bit, ranging from
the lower to upper 60s, with dewpoints in the mid 30s to near 40.
Radar showing patchy light rain continuing over SE TX/S LA 
associated with a weak upper level disturbance. While most of the 
rain is evaporating due to the lower dewpoints (drier air), a few 
reports of very light drizzle or light rain scattered about this 
afternoon.

The weak upper level impulse expected to move east and weaken this
evening, ending the brief low chances of precipitation and
eventually allow for partial clearing over the area through most
of Easter Sunday. This should allow for lows tonight to reach the
mid 40s across inland SE TX/C LA to near 50/lower 50s along the 
I-10 corridor of SE TX/S LA. With mainly partly cloudy skies
expected Sunday, highs expected to reach the mid 70s.

A gradual warming trend will continue as surface high pressure
move father east allowing for southeasterly or southerly flow to
prevail for most of next week. The next chance of showers and a
few thunderstorms expected by Wednesday night into Thursday
morning time range with the next upper level disturbance and cool
front to approach the area. It looks like the front will likely 
stall either just to the north or over the area before moving 
back north or dissipating. Thus, no cooler temperatures indicated 
by any of the blended guidance, with highs in the mid to possibly 
upper 80s over SE TX by next Thursday and Friday.

DML

MARINE...
High pressure will settle over the southeast states through the 
weekend. Light to occasionally moderate easterly winds will
become more southeast through Sunday, with onshore flow to
prevail through the week.   

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  66  46  75  50 /  10   0   0   0 
LCH  67  50  74  55 /  20  10   0   0 
LFT  68  50  75  53 /  10  10   0   0 
BPT  67  53  74  57 /  30  20   0   0 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION...66