806 
FXUS64 KMAF 301746
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1146 AM CST Mon Nov 30 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 18Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR with clear skies will prevail through the forecast period.
Winds will shift around to the S-SW tonight at all terminals. 

&& 

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 359 AM CST Mon Nov 30 2020/ 

DISCUSSION...

Yesterday kicked off with below normal high temperatures in the 50's 
and the Rio Grande reaching the low 70's. Low temperatures this 
morning are on track to hitting the 20's due to strong radiational 
cooling and cold northerly air being transported into the the area. 
Northerly winds have increased post front for GDP, as high winds 
look to drop off by the morning. Today's high temperatures will stay 
below normal with highs ranging in the 50s area wide and the 60s for 
the Rio Grande as a surface high will trudge across the area by this 
afternoon bringing back a weak return flow temporarily. Dew points 
will plunge into the single digits this afternoon as drier air will 
move into the area. Winds will stay light and calm allowing for 
temperatures Monday night to drop in the 20s to 30s as a result of 
strong radiational cooling.

An upper level trough will develop Tuesday over the TX/OK Panhandle 
causing surface west winds to warm temps up to near normal. High 
temps Tuesday will be in the low to upper 60s area wide making it 
the warmest day of the week. The trough will dig southward 
transitioning into a cutoff low over the southern plains by Tuesday 
evening. This will allow for a series of dry cold fronts to make 
their way into the area Wed/Thu plummeting temps to below normal 
again. Wednesday guidance is suggesting possible high winds for the 
Guadalupe Mountains associated with the front's passage. Any lift 
associated with this system will be too far east, preventing any 
chances for precipitation in the area this week. The cutoff low 
looks to split by Thursday with the eastern low moving off to the 
east and the western low pushing towards the southwest. The western 
low will then move east by this weekend allowing for temps to 
increase to slightly below near normal.

89

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     28  64  34  49 /   0   0   0  10 
Carlsbad                       24  66  31  49 /   0   0   0   0 
Dryden                         32  66  37  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Fort Stockton                  33  69  33  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Guadalupe Pass                 32  55  30  44 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobbs                          24  64  29  46 /   0   0   0   0 
Marfa                          25  63  23  50 /   0   0   0   0 
Midland Intl Airport           28  64  33  50 /   0   0   0  10 
Odessa                         28  64  33  50 /   0   0   0   0 
Wink                           24  68  32  53 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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