007 
FXUS65 KFGZ 032231
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
330 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2020

.SYNOPSIS...Expect warm and dry conditions for the remainder of the 
work week. Slight cooling and increasing southwest winds arrive on 
Friday, with much cooler, windy and unsettled conditions for the 
weekend. Areas of rain and snow are likely Saturday through Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Modest instability and mid-level moisture associated 
with a trough axis entering southwestern Utah has led to shower and 
isolated thunderstorm over much of the region today. This activity 
will continue to push toward the Four Corners this afternoon and 
will diminish this evening.

A strong ridge redevelops in the wake of this upper low Wednesday 
and Thursday, before breaking down rapidly on Friday.

Next weekend and early next week features a cold, windy and stormy 
pattern. Strong winds are likely, along with areas of rain and snow 
from Saturday through Monday.

Expect winds to begin to increase Friday afternoon, peaking on 
Saturday. Wind headlines are likely at this time. Rain snow break 
out along the first cold front Saturday, but will quickly move east. 
A secondary low brings much lower snow levels and potentially more 
widespread precipitation Sunday and Monday. Accumulating high 
elevation snowfall looking more likely at this time, stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Expect VFR conditions and light 
winds for the 24 hour TAF forecast period. Sct -shra/isold -tsra 
through 02Z, mainly NE and E of the I-17 corridor. Mostly clear 
skies expected for Wednesday. Aviation discussion not updated for 
TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms ending 
this evening. Expect warm and dry conditions for Wednesday and 
Thursday, with light winds.

Friday through Sunday...A series of cold low pressure systems will 
bring windy and colder weather for this period. Areas of rain and 
snow arrive Saturday and Sunday. The windiest day will be Saturday, 
especially northeast of the Mogollon Rim.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Peterson
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson


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