National Weather Service Raw Text Product

764 
FXUS64 KMAF 011902
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
202 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2020

.DISCUSSION...
Upper trough moving through CO into NM later today will swing down 
across TX Panhandle overnight and along the Red River Wednesday 
before moving into E TX and AR Thursday.  As this trough moves east 
the upper ridge over the Intermountain West will build across NM and 
W TX. Looking at a strong trough moving across the Rockies and down 
onto the Southern Plains early next week that may bring cooler wx to 
the region.

The weak front yesterday did not bring much cooling with it... but 
when combined with widespread cloud cover and higher dewpts has 
resulted in somewhat cooler temperatures today.  Models are 
indicating another weak frontal boundary sagging into the area later 
this afternoon and evening but this may turn out to just be a strong 
outflow from evening convection to the north. Wednesday looks to be 
the coolest day of the next several with temps warming again 
Thursday.  Looking at a 3rd front this week backdooring into the 
area late Thursday/early Friday with near normal temps through the 
weekend.  

Have had some lingering showers and storms through the day over NE 
Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos.  Some locations got a good rain 
overnight at Colorado City Mesonet, Chisos Basin, Elephant Mtn WMA, 
Panther Junction, and Snyder SW Mesonet all receiving around 3/4 
inch of rain or more.  The same areas will have the best chance of 
seeing rain this afternoon and tonight so have decreased pops 
elsewhere. Unfortunately the vast majority of the area will probably 
not receive much or any measurable rain with this event. Those 
that do receive rain could end up getting a good rain as the 
atmosphere is moist... MAF 12z sounding had a PW of 1.70 inches and 
as of midday the eastern half of the area still had dewpts in the 
60s.  As far as storms have a Marginal risk for Eastern Permian 
Basin and Lower Trans Pecos, with a slight risk just clipping corner 
of Scurry County.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     97  70  89  67 /  30  30  30  10 
Carlsbad                       97  65  92  64 /  20  20  10  10 
Dryden                        102  76  98  73 /  50  50  20  10 
Fort Stockton                  98  69  93  67 /  30  30  10  10 
Guadalupe Pass                 88  64  85  67 /  10  10  10   0 
Hobbs                          95  64  88  62 /  10  20  20  10 
Marfa                          91  61  87  59 /  40  30  20  10 
Midland Intl Airport           97  70  91  68 /  20  20  20  10 
Odessa                         98  70  91  67 /  20  20  20  10 
Wink                          100  70  94  68 /  20  20  10  10 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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