National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDTSA
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDTSA
Product Timestamp: 2020-03-05 03:31 UTC
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594 FXUS64 KTSA 050331 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 931 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2020 .DISCUSSION... Widespread rain continues south of the red River and while weak radar echoes have remained persistent across far southeast OK, sfc obs and mesonet data showing little sign of measurable precip north of the Red River where dry air . At this point the going idea of slight chance POPs across far southern area seems reasonable. Still extensive mid and high clouds through much of the region but will eventually see some clearing by morning, allowing temps to reach forecast lows. No updates are planned this evening. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 531 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2020/ AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours with decreasing mid and high clouds overnight. A cold front will sweep through the region Thursday morning, with northwesterly winds becoming gusty. PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 250 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2020/ DISCUSSION... Light rain will continue to spread across SE OK through the evening hours as the upper low currently over west TX moves through the Arklatex region overnight. Skies will clear overnight with sunny and warmer temps tomorrow. Cold front moves through the region during Thursday afternoon / evening hours with an increase in post frontal wind speeds raising fire weather concerns especially across northeast OK. Pleasant conditions Friday with light winds and mild temps. Gusty southerly winds develop Saturday with above normal temperatures and fairly low humidity values combining to raise fire weather concerns area wide. Humidity levels rise on Sunday with gusty winds continuing. Next storm system remains on track to provide widespread rains Sunday night through Monday. Instability is likely to remain limited within the widespread warm conveyor precip shield with a brief opportunity of sufficient instability recovery ahead of the cold front which passes later Monday to maintain thunderstorm potential through Monday evening. Thereafter the forecast uncertainty increases into the middle of next week and low precip chances were maintained. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 37 69 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 39 69 37 64 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 39 70 36 64 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 33 68 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 37 66 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 37 65 33 57 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 37 69 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 35 66 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 F10 37 69 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 43 71 38 65 / 20 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...14