AFOS product QPSLOX
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Product Timestamp: 2020-03-01 12:08 UTC

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042 
FSUS46 KLOX 011222
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
408 AM PST SUN MAR 01 2020

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0400 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: SUN MAR 01 2020 THROUGH SAT MAR 07 2020.

&&

                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                          0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                  0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                       0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   0.0

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.05    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.05
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 1400-1900
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: YES

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA                      0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO            0.0    0.0    LGT    LGT   |   0.1   LGT
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                    0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   LGT   0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA CITY               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   LGT   0.0

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.02    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.05
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 1500-2000
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: YES

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

VENTURA COUNTY...

FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                     0.0    LGT    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                    0.0    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                     0.0    LGT    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
VTUC1:VENTURA CITY                     0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
MORC1:MOORPARK                         0.0    LGT    LGT    0.0   |   LGT   LGT
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                   0.0    0.0    0.0    LGT   |   LGT   LGT

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.02    FTHLS/MTNS 0.05-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 1500-2300
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: YES

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT               LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                   LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                      LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE             LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
SAUC1:SAUGUS                           0.0    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT   LGT
CQT:DOWNTOWN LA                        LGT    0.0    LGT    0.0   |   LGT   LGT
MLUC1:MALIBU BIG ROCK MESA             0.0    LGT    LGT    0.0   |   LGT   LGT

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.05    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 1000-1900
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: YES

&&

DISCUSSION:

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE AREA TODAY THROUGH 
MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE EVENT DUE TO A CLOSED LOW, 
BUT THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME IS FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION 
ACCUMULATIONS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM A QUARTER OF AN 
INCH OR LESS, EXCEPT A QUARTER TO HALF INCH ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOS 
ANGELES COUNTY FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP DOWN 
TO BETWEEN 2500 AND 3500 FEET. SNOWFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1-3 INCHES 
OF SNOW ABOVE 3500 FEET WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 4-6 INCHES IN THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS. THERE IS A 
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY 
CONDITIONS SHOULD FOLLOW THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK. ONE MID RANGE MODEL 
WAS HINTING AT CHANCE OF RAIN NEXT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 
BETTER CONSENSUS OF MODEL AGREEMENT FOR A WET PATTERN EARLY NEXT 
WEEK.

$$
CK