518 
FXUS63 KOAX 251120
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
520 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020

...Updated Aviation Forecast Discussion...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 302 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020

The weather system expected to impact our region today continues
to trend farther west. In fact, the accumulating snow will be west
of our forecast area across central NE, and we'll generally only
see flurries or sprinkles across eastern NE. And it's quite
possible the dry air with a persistent northerly flow will win out
and we may not see much at all. High temperatures reach the mid
30s to lower 40s, but northerly surface winds will increase to 15
to 25 mph which make it feel cooler. 

As the upper low diving through the western High Plains makes a
turn the east, the northern edge of the precip could the
NE/KS/MO/IA border region, but again, the measurable precipitation
will remain to the south across KS and MO. 

The remainder of the period Wednesday through Sunday should
generally be dry with a warming trend. Temps in the 30s Wednesday,
but warming into the 50s for the weekend. There are couple of
waves that move through the region Thursday and then again
Thursday night. The GFS/Canadian models hint at some small
precipitation potential for northeast NE but the EC and WPC both 
remain dry. If any precip would occur, it would be very light with
negligible impacts.

The next weather system of interest arrives Monday with mostly a
rain chance, but with some snow changing to rain potential in 
northeast NE.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 517 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020

North northeasterly winds 12 knots or greater at TAF issuance,
gusts 14 to 23 knots develop by 14-16z, increasing to 15 to 28
knots by 16-18z. MVFR clouds develop 26/02-05z. While there could
be a stray flurry that affects KOFK/KLNK today, probability was
too low to include in the TAF at this time. 

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DeWald
AVIATION...DeWald