494 
FXUS65 KFGZ 301116
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
416 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2020

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry weather through Monday. Gusty north to 
northeast winds will persist through Friday morning then 
decrease. A gradual warming trend begins Friday and lasts through 
Sunday. Gusty southwest winds develop Sunday afternoon ahead of a 
cold front bringing shower chances and much colder temps Monday. 


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Progs are in good agreement showing fast north to northeast flow 
aloft to affect northern Arizona through mid day Friday. The main
impacts will be gusty north to northeast winds through Friday 
morning,with gusts to 40 mph in the favored areas downslope areas
along and south of the Mogollon rim. Periods of mid and high 
level clouds are in store today, and should move out this evening. 

Fair weather is in store from Friday afternoon through Sunday 
evening. Expect warmer afternoon temps with decreasing winds 
through Sunday morning. Sunday is a transition day to westerly 
flow aloft. This due to a cold front and upper level trough moving
through the Great Basin. Gusty southwest winds to develop Sunday 
afternoon. 

For Monday and Tuesday, the cold front to move across northern
Arizona, with much colder temperatures for sure and chances for
rain and snow showers. Present indications are for the greatest
precip chances to be Monday afternoon / night. Stay tuned. 

&&

.AVIATION...For the 12Z package...Lingering low ceilings and 
possible patchy fog remain possible before 16Z in southern Apache 
County with associated MVFR/IFR conditions and obscured mountains 
likely. Locally gusty northeast winds will continue through the TAF 
period, especially along and south of higher terrain. Aviation 
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER... Today will be cold and dry with northerly breezes, 
gusty at times along and south of high terrain. The winds will 
continue overnight into Friday morning before diminishing. A warming 
trend begins Friday.

Saturday through Monday...Expect dry conditions and warming 
temperatures. North to northeasterly breezes Saturday will shift 
southwesterly and increase Sunday ahead of the next weather system. 
Possible rain and high elevation snow return Monday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...DB
FIRE WEATHER...DB


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff