National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWFBUF
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWFBUF
Product Timestamp: 2019-10-17 05:33 UTC
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130
FNUS51 KBUF 170533
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019
.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front will stall east of Lake Ontario, bringing a
soaking rainfall to that region overnight. Meanwhile, it will be
blustery and chilly with lake enhanced showers across Western New
York tonight and Thursday. Dry weather will return Friday and
Saturday as high pressure builds back into the region, with
temperatures warming steadily through the weekend.
NYZ001-002-010-011-170900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
133 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019
Overnight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 50 80 30 0
Precip type Showers Showers Showers None
Min/Max Temp 44 51 42 50
AM Wind (mph) NW 17 NW 10
PM Wind (mph) NW 19 NW 15 NW 8
Precip amount 0.04 0.16 0.02 0.00
Precip duration 2 8 2
Precip begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing 10 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%) 97 74 100 58
Haines Index 3 3 2 2
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing height (ft-AGL) 70 3780 70 4110
Transport wind (kt) W 22 NW 33 NW 21 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 1540 124740 1470 73980
Dispersion Index 2 125 1 74
REMARKS...None.
$$
NYZ012-019>021-085-170900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
133 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019
Overnight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 80 80 60 0
Precip type Showers Showers Showers None
Min/Max Temp 39 47 38 48
AM Wind (mph) NW 17 NW 9
PM Wind (mph) NW 18 NW 14 NW 7
Precip amount 0.12 0.21 0.10 0.00
Precip duration 5 11 6
Precip begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing 5 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%) 97 73 100 56
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing height (ft-AGL) 130 4560 70 4050
Transport wind (kt) NW 27 NW 38 NW 24 NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 3510 173280 1680 68850
Dispersion Index 4 173 2 69
REMARKS...None.
$$
NYZ003>005-013-014-170900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
133 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019
Overnight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 60 80 60 0
Precip type Showers Showers Showers None
Min/Max Temp 43 51 42 50
AM Wind (mph) NW 16 NW 11
PM Wind (mph) NW 19 NW 15 NW 8
Precip amount 0.03 0.29 0.04 0.00
Precip duration 2 11 4
Precip begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing 2 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 75 100 63
Haines Index 3 3 2 2
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing height (ft-AGL) 70 4270 70 4130
Transport wind (kt) W 18 NW 33 NW 24 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 1260 140910 1680 74340
Dispersion Index 1 141 2 74
REMARKS...None.
$$
NYZ006>008-170900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
133 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019
Overnight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip chc (%) 100 100 80 0
Precip type Showers Showers Showers None
Min/Max Temp 41 49 37 49
AM Wind (mph) NW 9 NW 9
PM Wind (mph) NW 14 NW 12 NW 7
Precip amount 0.33 0.64 0.12 0.00
Precip duration 5 12 7
Precip begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 78 100 61
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing height (ft-AGL) 70 4250 70 3900
Transport wind (kt) W 10 N 29 NW 24 NW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 700 123250 1680 58500
Dispersion Index 1 123 2 59
REMARKS...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$