398 
FXUS62 KMLB 151923
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
323 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight...Mid level impulses near a surface front will remain mainly 
north of the area overnight across far northern FL and S GA as low 
pressure develops and moves ENE near the boundary. Low level winds 
from the southeast this evening will veer to the S/SW overnight. 
More prevalent mid and high cloudiness will affect nrn sections 
overnight with a low shower chance north of I-4 late. Lows mainly 
in the lower 70s with some upper 60s across the southern interior. 

Wed-Thu (previous)...A developing sfc low north of the state early 
Wed morning wl move off the Mid Atlc coast by Wed aftn. Ongoing 
showers and perhaps a storm during the morning hours across N 
central FL, largely ascd with some mid-level energy transiting the 
SE will develop swd into the region during Wed as a frontal boundary 
approaches the area Wed night. Earlier timing of this initial 
disturbance will limit rain chcs to sct coverage. The boundary wl 
settle over central FL by Wed night and moisture pooling along and S 
of the feature coupled with marginal instability will keep a chc of 
showers in the fcst for Thu with an isold storm or two in a pseudo 
warm sector which looks to reside over the southern half of the 
area. 

Extended (previous)...Potential will exist for showers and a few 
storms Fri as a little more energetic disturbance takes form over 
the central to eastern gulf late Fri and into Sat. Wl keep sct rain 
chcs in the forecast through at least the weekend as well as Monday, 
with uncertainty on any favored area for measurable daily rains due 
to placement of sfc features. Considerable cloud cover should keep 
temp ranges near to slightly below normal. 

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail through at least tonight as dry air is 
still in place over central Florida. A few light sprinkles possible 
this afternoon around KDAB and KSFB resulting in no impacts. By 
tomorrow a weak front moves into the area, bringing a chance 
of showers and gusty winds to KMCO, KSFB, KISM, KLEE, and KDAB.

&&

.MARINE...

Tonight...SE winds around 10 knots this evening will veer and 
increase to around 15 knots overnight. Seas around 3 ft will build 
to 4 ft offshore and may reach 4-5 ft across the offshore waters 
late tonight as winds become SW after midnight.

Wed...SW winds to 10-15 knots across the south and 14-18 knots for 
the nrn waters will elevate seas across the nrn offshore waters to 4-
5 ft and 3-4 ft across the srn offshore waters. Seas will be lower 
near the immediate coast with offshore flow.


Wed night-Thu...A frontal boundary will move across the waters Wed 
night and stall near Jupiter Inlet into Thu with winds up to 15 
knots and gusty. Seas 2-3 ft near shore and up to 3-4 ft offshore. 
Isolated storms may redevelop across the southern waters into Thu 
near the frontal boundary. 

Extended...Saturday shows changing conditions with onshore winds
initially veering to S as an upstream disturbance over the gulf
moves closer to the area. Headlines are not anticipated this
weekend, however winds and seas may be briefly higher near showers
and a few lightning storms. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  73  88  70  81 /  10  40  10  10 
MCO  72  87  71  85 /  10  30  10  20 
MLB  72  90  74  84 /   0  20  10  20 
VRB  71  89  73  85 /   0  20  10  30 
LEE  73  86  70  84 /  20  50  10  10 
SFB  72  87  70  84 /  10  40  10  10 
ORL  73  87  72  85 /  10  30  10  10 
FPR  69  89  73  85 /   0  20  10  40 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Volkmer/Glitto/Rodriguez